Stock Analysis

Johnson Electric Holdings (HKG:179) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SEHK:179
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Johnson Electric Holdings Limited (HKG:179) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Johnson Electric Holdings

How Much Debt Does Johnson Electric Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Johnson Electric Holdings had US$474.0m of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$428.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$45.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:179 Debt to Equity History September 29th 2023

How Strong Is Johnson Electric Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Johnson Electric Holdings had liabilities of US$981.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$624.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$428.1m in cash and US$711.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$466.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Johnson Electric Holdings is worth US$1.14b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Johnson Electric Holdings's net debt is only 0.11 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Johnson Electric Holdings grew its EBIT by 34% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Johnson Electric Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Johnson Electric Holdings recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, Johnson Electric Holdings's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Johnson Electric Holdings takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Johnson Electric Holdings (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.