Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. (ATH:HTO)?

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ATSE:HTO
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's (ATH:HTO) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.7% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is:

26% = €497m ÷ €1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.26 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Earnings Growth And 26% ROE

To begin with, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 13% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. This likely paved the way for the modest 20% net income growth seen by Hellenic Telecommunications Organization over the past five years. growth

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 13% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
ATSE:HTO Past Earnings Growth November 28th 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has a three-year median payout ratio of 56% (which means it retains 44% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Moreover, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of seven years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 55%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's future ROE will be 27% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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