Stock Analysis

Is Space Hellas (ATH:SPACE) Using Too Much Debt?

ATSE:SPACE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Space Hellas S.A. (ATH:SPACE) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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What Is Space Hellas's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2020 Space Hellas had €29.1m of debt, an increase on €25.5m, over one year. However, it also had €9.28m in cash, and so its net debt is €19.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:SPACE Debt to Equity History December 7th 2020

How Strong Is Space Hellas's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Space Hellas had liabilities of €29.3m due within a year, and liabilities of €21.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €9.28m as well as receivables valued at €20.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €21.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €29.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Space Hellas's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Space Hellas's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.3) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.7, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Even more troubling is the fact that Space Hellas actually let its EBIT decrease by 8.4% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Space Hellas's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Space Hellas saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Space Hellas's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its EBIT growth rate fails to inspire much confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Space Hellas to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Space Hellas has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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