Hellenic Exchanges - Athens Stock Exchange S.A.

ATSE:EXAE Stock Report

Market Cap: €245.9m

Hellenic Exchanges - Athens Stock Exchange Valuation

Is EXAE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXAE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXAE (€4.12) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXAE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXAE?

Key metric: As EXAE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXAE. This is calculated by dividing EXAE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXAE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.1x
Earnings€15.81m
Market Cap€245.86m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXAE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXAE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
BLEKEDROS Ble Kedros REIC
16.9xn/a€150.5m
PVMEZZ Phoenix Vega Mezz
1.9xn/a€114.3m
EX Euroxx Securities
29.9xn/a€63.9m
TELL Bank of Greece
2.6xn/a€264.2m
EXAE Hellenic Exchanges - Athens Stock Exchange
15.1x10.7%€245.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXAE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXAE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Capital Markets Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EXAE 15.1xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies35PE01224364860+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXAE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the European Capital Markets industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXAE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXAE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EXAE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXAE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.12
€6.93
+68.4%
11.4%€8.60€6.10n/a7
Nov ’25€4.25
€6.69
+57.3%
16.3%€8.60€4.80n/a7
Oct ’25€4.54
€6.69
+47.4%
16.3%€8.60€4.80n/a7
Sep ’25€4.52
€6.69
+47.9%
16.3%€8.60€4.80n/a7
Aug ’25€4.78
€6.69
+39.9%
16.3%€8.60€4.80n/a7
Jul ’25€4.90
€6.66
+35.9%
16.5%€8.60€4.80n/a7
Jun ’25€4.91
€6.66
+35.6%
16.5%€8.60€4.80n/a7
May ’25€5.16
€6.63
+28.6%
17.8%€8.60€4.80n/a6
Apr ’25€5.46
€6.62
+21.2%
18.0%€8.60€4.80n/a6
Mar ’25€5.59
€6.44
+15.2%
19.1%€8.60€4.80n/a5
Feb ’25€5.63
€5.90
+4.8%
11.1%€6.40€4.80n/a4
Jan ’25€5.30
€5.80
+9.4%
10.3%€6.40€4.80n/a4
Dec ’24€5.31
€6.13
+15.5%
3.1%€6.40€6.00n/a3
Nov ’24€4.82
€6.20
+28.6%
2.6%€6.40€6.00€4.253
Oct ’24€4.79
€5.85
+22.1%
10.6%€6.40€4.80€4.544
Sep ’24€5.20
€5.85
+12.5%
10.6%€6.40€4.80€4.524
Aug ’24€5.56
€5.70
+2.5%
10.4%€6.40€4.80€4.784
Jul ’24€5.15
€5.32
+3.3%
8.4%€6.00€4.80€4.905
Jun ’24€4.91
€4.85
-1.2%
6.6%€5.30€4.40€4.914
May ’24€4.01
€4.74
+18.2%
7.6%€5.30€4.30€5.165
Apr ’24€3.93
€4.74
+20.8%
7.6%€5.30€4.30€5.465
Mar ’24€4.33
€4.60
+6.4%
5.5%€4.90€4.30€5.594
Feb ’24€3.95
€4.60
+16.6%
5.5%€4.90€4.30€5.634
Jan ’24€3.10
€4.67
+50.5%
5.6%€4.90€4.30€5.303
Dec ’23€3.16
€4.67
+47.7%
5.6%€4.90€4.30€5.313
Nov ’23€3.18
€4.67
+46.8%
5.6%€4.90€4.30€4.823

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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