Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Doppler (ATH:DOPPLER) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

ATSE:DOPPLER
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Doppler S.A. (ATH:DOPPLER) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Doppler

What Is Doppler's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Doppler had debt of €12.4m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from €13.6m over a year. However, it also had €458.2k in cash, and so its net debt is €11.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:DOPPLER Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2021

A Look At Doppler's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Doppler had liabilities of €12.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €8.72m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €458.2k and €10.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €9.88m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €5.99m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Doppler would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.90 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.6 hit our confidence in Doppler like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Another concern for investors might be that Doppler's EBIT fell 17% in the last year. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Doppler's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Doppler produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Doppler's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Doppler has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Doppler that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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