Piraeus Financial Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Piraeus Financial Holdings's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 2.4% and 2.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 1.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.6% in 3 years.

Key information

-2.5%

Earnings growth rate

-1.1%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	-0.7%
Revenue growth rate	-2.4%
Future return on equity	12.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ATSE:TPEIR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,596	1,057	N/A	N/A	10
12/31/2025	2,579	1,058	N/A	N/A	11
12/31/2024	2,695	1,134	N/A	N/A	9
9/30/2024	2,725	1,095	-6,728	-6,511	N/A
6/30/2024	2,657	1,053	-4,675	-4,458	N/A
3/31/2024	2,126	842	-279	-102	N/A
12/31/2023	2,306	788	-582	-414	N/A
9/30/2023	2,215	745	-6,634	-6,487	N/A
6/30/2023	2,048	583	-9,698	-9,556	N/A
3/31/2023	1,905	556	-10,579	-10,399	N/A
12/31/2022	2,245	899	-10,010	-9,841	N/A
9/30/2022	5,777	807	-1,909	-1,732	N/A
6/30/2022	4,977	58	-244	-82	N/A
3/31/2022	192	-2,084	-1,049	-918	N/A
12/31/2021	2,057	-3,006	-1,610	-1,483	N/A
9/30/2021	-1,425	-3,596	-919	-817	N/A
6/30/2021	-700	-2,959	-148	-48	N/A
3/31/2021	4,395	-824	5,386	5,457	N/A
12/31/2020	1,478	-654	3,919	4,001	N/A
9/30/2020	1,263	51	3,875	3,949	N/A
6/30/2020	1,228	92	1,999	2,077	N/A
3/31/2020	1,172	26	-2,461	-2,365	N/A
12/31/2019	1,475	270	-3,353	-3,248	N/A
9/30/2019	1,187	222	-2,875	-2,785	N/A
6/30/2019	1,227	274	-1,829	-1,730	N/A
3/31/2019	1,252	277	-4,384	-4,283	N/A
12/31/2018	1,267	184	-4,453	-4,325	N/A
9/30/2018	133	46	-4,194	-3,992	N/A
6/30/2018	29	-67	N/A	-4,946	N/A
3/31/2018	62	-80	N/A	-1,869	N/A
12/31/2017	39	-8	N/A	684	N/A
9/30/2017	1,078	7	N/A	-1,372	N/A
6/30/2017	1,167	52	N/A	-1,704	N/A
3/31/2017	1,201	64	N/A	-1,904	N/A
12/31/2016	1,216	37	N/A	-2,447	N/A
9/30/2016	207	-1,223	N/A	-2,562	N/A
6/30/2016	270	-748	N/A	-1,338	N/A
3/31/2016	-1,137	-1,829	N/A	6,441	N/A
12/31/2015	-1,114	-1,858	N/A	13,860	N/A
9/30/2015	-325	-923	N/A	18,838	N/A
6/30/2015	-2,382	-2,983	N/A	17,899	N/A
3/31/2015	-1,073	-1,757	N/A	10,460	N/A
12/31/2014	-1,305	-1,938	N/A	1,076	N/A
9/30/2014	-1,266	-2,336	N/A	-1,986	N/A
6/30/2014	471	-1,055	N/A	-1,967	N/A
3/31/2014	72	-1,329	N/A	-2,542	N/A
12/31/2013	-68	2,532	N/A	-4,336	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TPEIR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: TPEIR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TPEIR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TPEIR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TPEIR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TPEIR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 01:31
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Nikos Katsenos	Alpha Finance Investment Services S.A.
Eleni Ismailou	Axia Ventures Group Ltd
Kirishanthan Vijayarajah	Barclays

Piraeus Financial Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.5% to €4.93

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Price target increased by 8.0% to €4.55

Price target increased by 7.7% to €3.82

Price target increased by 9.1% to €3.74

Price target increased by 7.2% to €3.42

Recent updates

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

New minor risk - Share price stability

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upcoming dividend of €0.063 per share

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: €0.18 (vs €0.14 in 1Q 2023)

Price target increased by 7.5% to €4.93

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Price target increased by 8.0% to €4.55

Now 20% undervalued

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. to Report Nine Months, 2024 Results on Nov 04, 2024

Trastor Real Estate Investment Company SA (ATSE:TRASTOR) acquired Pileas Real Estate - Commercial S.A from Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. (ATSE:TPEIR).

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.22 (vs €0.091 in 3Q 2022)

Now 22% undervalued

Price target increased by 7.7% to €3.82

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.096 (vs €0.074 in 2Q 2022)

Price target increased by 9.1% to €3.74

Price target increased by 7.2% to €3.42

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Price target increased by 10% to €3.19

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Price target increased by 7.3% to €2.89

Now 20% undervalued

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.13 (vs €0.42 in 1Q 2022)

Now 21% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

Price target increased by 9.8% to €2.58

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Price target increased by 7.7% to €2.53

Now 20% undervalued

Price target increased by 8.3% to €2.32

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Jul 31, 2023

Price target increased to €2.25

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Consensus forecasts updated

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target decreased to €1.71

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 20% undervalued

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 03, 2022

Intrum AB (publ) (OM:INTRUM) and Serengeti Asset Management LP completed the acquisition of Sunrise II Portfolio of Non-Performing Exposures of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. (ATSE:TPEIR).

Consensus forecasts updated

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: €0.51 loss per share (vs €0.11 profit in 3Q 2020)

Intrum AB (publ) (OM:INTRUM) completed the acquisition of 30% stake in Portfolio of Mezzanine Notes of the Vega securitization from Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. (ATSE:TPEIR).

Intrum AB (publ) (OM:INTRUM) and Serengeti Asset Management LP reached definitive agreements to acquire Sunrise I portfolio of non-performing exposures of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. (ATSE:TPEIR).

Consensus revenue estimates fall to €2.06b

Consensus revenue estimates increase to €2.39b

First quarter 2021 earnings released: €8.02 loss per share (vs €8.69 loss in 1Q 2020)

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target decreased to €1.08

Full year 2020 earnings released: €1.49 loss per share (vs €0.62 profit in FY 2019)

Euronet Worldwide, Inc. (NasdaqGS:EEFT) agreed to acquire Piraeus Bank Merchant Acquiring (PBMA) Business of Piraeus Bank for €300 million.

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A.(ATSE:TPEIR) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

Price target lowered to €1.47

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Piraeus Bank S.A. Determines Six-Member Audit Committee

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Intrum AB (publ) (OM:INTRUM) has reached an agreement to acquire A portfolio of retail, SB and leasing Non-Performing Exposures of Piraeus Bank S.A. (ATSE:TPEIR) for €42 million.

New 90-day high: €1.26

Market bids up stock over the past week

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.01