Alpha Services and Holdings S.A.

ATSE:ALPHA Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.7b

Alpha Services and Holdings Valuation

Is ALPHA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALPHA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALPHA (€1.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALPHA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALPHA?

Key metric: As ALPHA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALPHA. This is calculated by dividing ALPHA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALPHA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.6x
Earnings€483.31m
Market Cap€3.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALPHA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALPHA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.6x
TPEIR Piraeus Financial Holdings
4.4x-2.5%€4.9b
ETE National Bank of Greece
5.5x-7.5%€7.1b
OPTIMA Optima bank
6.7x13.4%€926.6m
EUROB Eurobank Ergasias Services and Holdings
5.8x-4.1%€8.3b
ALPHA Alpha Services and Holdings
7.6x18.1%€3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALPHA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (5.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALPHA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALPHA 7.6xIndustry Avg. 7.6xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALPHA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALPHA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALPHA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio6.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALPHA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALPHA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.58
€2.38
+50.8%
11.7%€3.00€1.90n/a15
Dec ’25€1.47
€2.37
+61.5%
11.8%€3.00€1.90n/a15
Nov ’25€1.40
€2.34
+67.1%
12.3%€3.00€1.79n/a15
Oct ’25€1.54
€2.36
+53.3%
11.7%€3.00€1.79n/a15
Sep ’25€1.55
€2.36
+52.6%
11.8%€3.00€1.80n/a15
Aug ’25€1.69
€2.35
+39.3%
12.3%€3.00€1.80n/a14
Jul ’25€1.59
€2.19
+37.4%
16.2%€2.60€1.21n/a14
Jun ’25€1.55
€2.19
+41.0%
16.2%€2.60€1.21n/a14
May ’25€1.59
€2.15
+34.9%
15.8%€2.55€1.21n/a13
Apr ’25€1.63
€2.12
+29.9%
16.5%€2.55€1.21n/a12
Mar ’25€1.72
€2.06
+19.5%
15.0%€2.40€1.21n/a11
Feb ’25€1.70
€2.05
+20.5%
14.9%€2.40€1.21n/a11
Jan ’25€1.54
€1.96
+27.0%
20.1%€2.50€1.10n/a12
Dec ’24€1.56
€1.90
+22.4%
19.0%€2.30€1.10€1.4713
Nov ’24€1.40
€1.88
+34.2%
18.7%€2.30€1.10€1.4013
Oct ’24€1.26
€1.89
+50.1%
18.3%€2.30€1.10€1.5414
Sep ’24€1.51
€1.86
+23.5%
17.9%€2.30€1.10€1.5514
Aug ’24€1.60
€1.85
+15.5%
17.9%€2.30€1.10€1.6914
Jul ’24€1.50
€1.75
+16.6%
17.5%€2.20€1.10€1.5913
Jun ’24€1.37
€1.55
+12.6%
14.4%€2.00€1.10€1.5514
May ’24€1.14
€1.54
+36.1%
13.0%€1.80€1.10€1.5913
Apr ’24€1.13
€1.53
+35.8%
13.2%€1.80€1.10€1.6313
Mar ’24€1.47
€1.56
+6.4%
10.6%€1.80€1.21€1.7212
Feb ’24€1.28
€1.49
+16.2%
12.3%€1.70€1.09€1.7012
Jan ’24€1.00
€1.44
+44.0%
13.2%€1.70€1.09€1.5412
Dec ’23€1.05
€1.43
+36.3%
13.4%€1.70€1.09€1.5612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 04:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. is covered by 35 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eleni IsmailouAxia Ventures Group Ltd
Constantinos ZouzoulasAxia Ventures Group Ltd
Kirishanthan VijayarajahBarclays