Alpha Services and Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Alpha Services and Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.2% and 8.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

15.2%

Earnings growth rate

15.2%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	0.9%
Revenue growth rate	8.5%
Future return on equity	10.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	23 Aug 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

What Type Of Shareholders Own The Most Number of Alpha Bank A.E. (ATH:ALPHA) Shares?

Feb 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ATSE:ALPHA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,255	812	N/A	N/A	12
12/31/2025	2,169	742	N/A	N/A	12
12/31/2024	2,127	707	N/A	N/A	10
6/30/2024	1,736	519	201	310	N/A
3/31/2024	1,728	604	-2,855	-2,755	N/A
12/31/2023	1,658	523	-6,688	-6,538	N/A
9/30/2023	1,742	462	-5,122	-4,951	N/A
6/30/2023	1,645	334	-6,005	-5,819	N/A
3/31/2023	1,572	277	-2,955	-2,759	N/A
12/31/2022	1,506	305	-605	-469	N/A
9/30/2022	1,127	-86	-2,078	-1,915	N/A
6/30/2022	697	-319	-2,158	-2,004	N/A
3/31/2022	-1,527	-2,475	-2,058	-1,910	N/A
12/31/2021	-1,783	-2,873	-119	41	N/A
9/30/2021	-1,349	-2,528	1,079	1,161	N/A
6/30/2021	-998	-2,311	160	274	N/A
3/31/2021	1,130	-165	4,393	4,524	N/A
12/31/2020	1,231	101	1,971	2,129	N/A
9/30/2020	1,300	147	2,811	2,951	N/A
6/30/2020	1,257	108	2,510	2,667	N/A
3/31/2020	1,267	65	-1,299	-1,116	N/A
12/31/2019	1,344	105	-39	125	N/A
9/30/2019	846	91	-33	182	N/A
6/30/2019	879	127	1,272	1,461	N/A
3/31/2019	802	15	36	197	N/A
12/31/2018	857	53	-2,180	-2,027	N/A
9/30/2018	1,345	-10	-4,718	-4,603	N/A
6/30/2018	1,378	-16	-6,463	-6,357	N/A
3/31/2018	1,485	108	N/A	-5,962	N/A
12/31/2017	1,461	90	N/A	-4,482	N/A
9/30/2017	1,402	158	N/A	-5,630	N/A
6/30/2017	1,365	162	N/A	-4,521	N/A
3/31/2017	1,225	71	N/A	-5,114	N/A
12/31/2016	1,219	19	N/A	-4,648	N/A
9/30/2016	744	-474	N/A	-4,468	N/A
6/30/2016	737	-99	N/A	-3,260	N/A
3/31/2016	-590	-1,125	N/A	2,835	N/A
12/31/2015	-767	-1,237	N/A	9,702	N/A
9/30/2015	-817	-1,200	N/A	12,756	N/A
6/30/2015	-868	-1,749	N/A	12,822	N/A
3/31/2015	475	-338	N/A	7,112	N/A
12/31/2014	513	-315	N/A	-561	N/A
9/30/2014	894	-74	N/A	-1,179	N/A
6/30/2014	694	-163	N/A	-1,556	N/A
3/31/2014	554	-642	N/A	-1,259	N/A
12/31/2013	437	2,979	N/A	-4,615	N/A
9/30/2013	214	2,813	N/A	-5,690	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALPHA's forecast earnings growth (15.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: ALPHA's earnings (15.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Greek market (2.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALPHA's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ALPHA's revenue (8.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Greek market (4.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALPHA's revenue (8.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALPHA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).

Alpha Services and Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.4% to €2.35

Price target increased by 8.6% to €2.07

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Price target decreased to €1.38

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Recent updates

New minor risk - Share price stability

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target increased by 7.4% to €2.35

Inaugural dividend of €0.026 per share

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.36 (vs €0.16 in FY 2022)

Price target increased by 8.6% to €2.07

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 02, 2024

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 02, 2024

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

New minor risk - Share price stability

Now 20% undervalued

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.072 (vs €1.49 loss in FY 2021)

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report Nine Months, 2022 Results on Nov 08, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target decreased to €1.38

OTP Bank Nyrt. (BUSE:OTP) completed the acquisition of Alpha Bank Albania SHA from Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. (ATSE:ALPHA).

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 02, 2022

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jul 22, 2022

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 26, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Mar 14, 2022

Price target increased to €1.52

OTP Bank Nyrt. (BUSE:OTP) entered into a binding agreement to acquire Alpha Bank Albania SHA from Alpha Services and Holdings S.A. (ATSE:ALPHA) for €55 million.

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: €1.32 loss per share (vs €0.063 profit in 2Q 2020)

Consensus EPS estimates increase to -€0.49

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to €1.29

Davidson Kempner European Partners, LLP completed the acquisition of Galaxy NPL of Alpha Bank A.E. and Cepal Hellas Financial Services S.A. from Alpha Bank A.E.

Price target decreased to €1.19

First quarter 2021 earnings released: €0.18 loss per share (vs €0.007 loss in 1Q 2020)

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to €1.30

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.067 (vs €0.068 in FY 2019)

Consensus forecasts updated

Alpha Bank A.E. to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 23, 2021

Price target raised to €1.16

What Type Of Shareholders Own The Most Number of Alpha Bank A.E. (ATH:ALPHA) Shares?

Analysts update estimates

LLC Silvinit-Transport and OOO Silvinit-Capital acquired Geo NPK LLC from Alpha Bank A.E. (ATSE:ALPHA).

Analysts update estimates

Analysts increase EPS estimates to €0.10

New 90-day high: €0.83

Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.028

Davidson Kempner European Partners, LLP agreed to acquire Galaxy NPL of Alpha Bank A.E. and Cepal Hellas Financial Services S.A. from Alpha Bank A.E.

Analysts update estimates

Alpha Bank Reportedly Picks Davidson Kempner as Preferred Bidder for $12 Billion Galaxy Bad Loans

An unknown buyer acquired 5.3% stake in Hellenic Company for Telecommunications and Telematic Applications S.A. (ATSE:FORTH) from Alpha Bank A.E. (ATSE:ALPHA).

Analysts update estimates

Alpha Bank A.E. to Report Nine Months, 2020 Results on Nov 26, 2020

New 90-day low: €0.42

New 90-day low: €0.49

Analysts lower EPS estimates to -€0.10

Laskarides acquired a 14.4% stake in Hellenic Seaways from Alpha Bank SA and small investors, Agapitos, Eurobank Properties Real Est Inv Co and Interamerican Hellenic Life Insurance Company S.A.

United Group B.V. completed the acquisition of 36% stake in Hellenic Company for Telecommunications and Telematic Applications S.A. (ATSE:FORTH) from Piraeus Bank S.A. (ATSE:TPEIR), National Bank of Greece S.A. (ATSE:ETE), Alpha Bank A.E. (ATSE:ALPHA) and Attica Bank S.A. (ATSE:TATT).

First half earnings released