EDP Renováveis Valuation

Is 0ML1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0ML1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0ML1 (€10.87) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0ML1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0ML1?

Key metric: As 0ML1 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0ML1. This is calculated by dividing 0ML1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0ML1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.6x
Sales€2.04b
Market Cap€11.38b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0ML1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0ML1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.4x
DRX Drax Group
0.3x-8.6%UK£2.5b
SVT Severn Trent
3.5x7.0%UK£8.3b
UU. United Utilities Group
3.8x8.0%UK£7.7b
SSE SSE
1.9x2.5%UK£19.2b
0ML1 EDP Renováveis
5.6x10.6%€11.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0ML1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0ML1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0ML1 5.6xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies13PS0246810+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0ML1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0ML1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0ML1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.6x
Fair PS Ratio3.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0ML1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0ML1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.87
€15.54
+43.0%
12.4%€19.00€10.00n/a21
Nov ’25€12.55
€16.42
+30.8%
11.6%€19.00€10.50n/a21
Oct ’25€15.63
€16.50
+5.6%
11.4%€19.00€10.50n/a22
Sep ’25€14.41
€16.31
+13.1%
11.1%€19.00€10.50n/a22
Aug ’25€14.55
€16.78
+15.3%
17.1%€27.00€10.50n/a22
Jul ’25€13.51
€17.06
+26.3%
17.6%€27.00€10.00n/a22
Jun ’25€14.71
€17.45
+18.7%
21.4%€27.50€9.50n/a22
May ’25€13.03
€17.64
+35.4%
22.2%€27.50€10.50n/a22
Apr ’25€12.69
€18.01
+41.9%
21.7%€27.50€10.50n/a22
Mar ’25€13.01
€19.19
+47.5%
18.3%€27.50€12.50n/a22
Feb ’25€15.00
€20.08
+33.8%
14.3%€27.50€15.50n/a22
Jan ’25€18.59
€20.53
+10.5%
13.6%€27.50€16.00n/a22
Dec ’24€16.70
€20.48
+22.6%
13.7%€27.50€16.00n/a22
Nov ’24€15.20
€20.75
+36.6%
13.8%€27.50€16.00€12.5522
Oct ’24€15.51
€21.58
+39.1%
12.8%€27.50€18.50€15.6322
Sep ’24€16.89
€21.84
+29.3%
12.7%€27.50€18.50€14.4123
Aug ’24€17.16
€22.18
+29.2%
12.2%€27.50€18.50€14.5523
Jul ’24€18.29
€22.62
+23.7%
12.0%€27.50€18.50€13.5123
Jun ’24€18.81
€22.85
+21.5%
11.8%€27.50€18.50€14.7122
May ’24€20.16
€23.10
+14.6%
11.7%€27.50€18.50€13.0322
Apr ’24€21.06
€23.14
+9.9%
11.4%€27.50€18.50€12.6924
Mar ’24€19.24
€23.31
+21.1%
11.9%€28.00€18.50€13.0124
Feb ’24€19.90
€23.40
+17.6%
11.3%€28.00€18.80€15.0024
Jan ’24€20.82
€23.61
+13.4%
10.3%€28.00€18.80€18.5924
Dec ’23€22.62
€23.63
+4.5%
9.8%€28.00€18.80€16.7023
Nov ’23€21.64
€23.63
+9.2%
9.8%€28.00€18.80€15.2023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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