Arise AB (publ)

LSE:0MFA Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 1.6b

Arise Valuation

Is 0MFA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MFA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MFA (SEK39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK388.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MFA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MFA?

Key metric: As 0MFA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0MFA. This is calculated by dividing 0MFA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0MFA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.3x
EarningsSEK 225.00m
Market CapSEK 1.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MFA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MFA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
DRX Drax Group
3.7x-27.6%UK£2.4b
JEL Jersey Electricity
11.7x-8.8%UK£131.8m
YU. Yü Group
8.1x-1.7%UK£308.8m
FINT Fintel Energija a.d
37.6xn/aдин16.7b
0MFA Arise
7.3x37.2%SEK 1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MFA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MFA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0MFA 7.3xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MFA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MFA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MFA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MFA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MFA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 39.00
SEK 77.75
+99.4%
0.3%SEK 78.00SEK 77.50n/a2
Nov ’25SEK 40.80
SEK 77.50
+90.0%
1.9%SEK 79.00SEK 76.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 42.45
SEK 77.50
+82.6%
1.9%SEK 79.00SEK 76.00n/a2
Sep ’25SEK 47.10
SEK 77.50
+64.5%
1.9%SEK 79.00SEK 76.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 51.30
SEK 77.50
+51.1%
1.9%SEK 79.00SEK 76.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 50.30
SEK 77.50
+54.1%
1.9%SEK 79.00SEK 76.00n/a2
Jun ’25SEK 49.80
SEK 76.50
+53.6%
0.7%SEK 77.00SEK 76.00n/a2
May ’25SEK 37.32
SEK 76.75
+105.7%
2.9%SEK 79.00SEK 74.50n/a2
Apr ’25SEK 41.05
SEK 76.75
+87.0%
2.9%SEK 79.00SEK 74.50n/a2
Mar ’25SEK 44.00
SEK 76.75
+74.4%
2.9%SEK 79.00SEK 74.50n/a2
Feb ’25SEK 41.30
SEK 80.75
+95.5%
2.2%SEK 82.50SEK 79.00n/a2
Jan ’25SEK 45.40
SEK 74.17
+63.4%
12.7%SEK 82.50SEK 61.00n/a3
Dec ’24SEK 38.97
SEK 74.17
+90.3%
12.7%SEK 82.50SEK 61.00n/a3
Nov ’24SEK 30.45
SEK 80.50
+164.4%
18.8%SEK 98.00SEK 61.00SEK 40.803
Oct ’24SEK 35.45
SEK 80.50
+127.1%
18.8%SEK 98.00SEK 61.00SEK 42.453
Sep ’24SEK 39.81
SEK 85.83
+115.6%
25.4%SEK 114.00SEK 61.00SEK 47.103
Aug ’24SEK 42.20
SEK 85.83
+103.4%
25.4%SEK 114.00SEK 61.00SEK 51.303
Jul ’24SEK 44.55
SEK 90.17
+102.4%
25.2%SEK 121.00SEK 67.00SEK 50.303
Jun ’24SEK 48.14
SEK 90.17
+87.3%
25.2%SEK 121.00SEK 67.00SEK 49.803
May ’24SEK 53.74
SEK 95.67
+78.0%
21.6%SEK 115.00SEK 67.00SEK 37.323
Apr ’24SEK 55.10
SEK 88.67
+60.9%
18.0%SEK 105.00SEK 67.00SEK 41.053
Mar ’24SEK 44.59
SEK 88.67
+98.9%
18.0%SEK 105.00SEK 67.00SEK 44.003
Feb ’24SEK 49.95
SEK 85.00
+70.2%
17.3%SEK 105.00SEK 70.00SEK 41.303
Jan ’24SEK 50.25
SEK 85.00
+69.2%
17.3%SEK 105.00SEK 70.00SEK 45.403
Dec ’23SEK 47.90
SEK 85.00
+77.5%
17.3%SEK 105.00SEK 70.00SEK 38.973
Nov ’23SEK 48.95
SEK 90.00
+83.9%
16.7%SEK 105.00SEK 75.00SEK 30.452

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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