Duke Energy Valuation

Is 0ID1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0ID1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0ID1 ($99.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($67.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0ID1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0ID1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0ID1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.1x
PEG Ratio2.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0ID1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0ID1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.9x
SSE SSE
32.1x13.2%UK£18.6b
NG. National Grid
15.6x6.1%UK£40.0b
SO Southern
19.5x6.6%US$82.9b
IBE Iberdrola
12.4x-2.1%€72.8b
0ID1 Duke Energy
18.5x7.2%US$77.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0ID1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0ID1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0ID1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0ID1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0ID1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0ID1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0ID1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$99.66
US$104.38
+4.7%
7.0%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$96.61
US$104.38
+8.0%
6.9%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$90.72
US$103.88
+14.5%
7.3%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$97.27
US$105.00
+7.9%
6.5%US$120.00US$96.96n/a17
Jan ’25US$96.44
US$101.06
+4.8%
6.6%US$120.00US$90.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$92.30
US$98.23
+6.4%
6.9%US$120.00US$89.00n/a17
Nov ’24US$89.38
US$97.25
+8.8%
7.0%US$120.00US$91.00n/a16
Oct ’24US$88.07
US$100.56
+14.2%
6.4%US$120.00US$91.00n/a16
Sep ’24US$87.70
US$98.35
+12.1%
12.0%US$120.00US$59.00n/a17
Aug ’24US$92.47
US$100.50
+8.7%
12.7%US$120.00US$59.00n/a16
Jul ’24US$88.71
US$103.87
+17.1%
7.7%US$120.00US$90.00n/a15
Jun ’24US$87.80
US$108.57
+23.7%
4.4%US$120.00US$102.00n/a14
May ’24US$99.61
US$108.27
+8.7%
4.7%US$120.00US$101.00US$99.9515
Apr ’24US$96.52
US$106.87
+10.7%
5.1%US$120.00US$99.00US$96.6115
Mar ’24US$92.01
US$106.71
+16.0%
5.6%US$120.00US$93.00US$90.7217
Feb ’24US$101.90
US$108.06
+6.0%
6.2%US$120.00US$91.00US$97.2717
Jan ’24US$102.18
US$103.47
+1.3%
6.9%US$120.00US$91.00US$96.4417
Dec ’23US$100.56
US$102.17
+1.6%
6.4%US$120.00US$91.00US$92.3018
Nov ’23US$94.05
US$103.12
+9.6%
6.2%US$120.00US$94.00US$89.3817
Oct ’23US$94.04
US$113.44
+20.6%
5.8%US$121.00US$100.00US$88.0718
Sep ’23US$108.01
US$113.56
+5.1%
5.9%US$123.00US$100.00US$87.7018
Aug ’23US$109.63
US$112.65
+2.8%
4.3%US$120.00US$101.00US$92.4717
Jul ’23US$108.94
US$114.17
+4.8%
5.4%US$123.00US$101.00US$88.7118
Jun ’23US$111.84
US$114.78
+2.6%
5.5%US$122.00US$101.00US$87.8018
May ’23US$112.21
US$114.94
+2.4%
7.1%US$128.00US$101.00US$99.6118

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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