Ameren Valuation

Is 0HE2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0HE2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0HE2 ($95.12) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($90.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0HE2 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0HE2?

Key metric: As 0HE2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0HE2. This is calculated by dividing 0HE2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0HE2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.4x
EarningsUS$1.13b
Market CapUS$25.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0HE2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0HE2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
NG. National Grid
28x15.5%UK£48.3b
CNA Centrica
5.8x-10.8%UK£6.4b
TEP Telecom Plus
18.5x11.7%UK£1.4b
SSE SSE
10.1x5.2%UK£19.2b
0HE2 Ameren
22.4x9.6%US$25.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0HE2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0HE2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0HE2 22.4xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0HE2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0HE2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0HE2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.4x
Fair PE Ratio15.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0HE2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0HE2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$95.12
US$89.34
-6.1%
7.1%US$98.00US$79.12n/a15
Nov ’25US$85.93
US$88.54
+3.0%
8.0%US$98.00US$79.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$87.43
US$85.67
-2.0%
8.1%US$97.00US$75.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$82.17
US$83.22
+1.3%
6.3%US$92.00US$75.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$81.02
US$79.39
-2.0%
4.8%US$87.00US$74.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$70.78
US$77.93
+10.1%
3.7%US$83.00US$72.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$72.57
US$77.82
+7.2%
3.7%US$83.00US$72.00n/a13
May ’25US$73.56
US$76.35
+3.8%
4.6%US$82.00US$69.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$73.65
US$76.51
+3.9%
4.3%US$82.00US$69.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$70.73
US$76.20
+7.7%
4.4%US$82.00US$69.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$70.77
US$76.67
+8.3%
4.9%US$84.00US$71.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$71.93
US$77.67
+8.0%
6.2%US$86.00US$71.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$77.51
US$83.00
+7.1%
5.0%US$89.00US$75.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$76.89
US$84.31
+9.6%
7.6%US$97.00US$75.00US$85.9313
Oct ’24US$74.72
US$88.23
+18.1%
5.7%US$97.00US$80.00US$87.4313
Sep ’24US$77.87
US$88.15
+13.2%
5.8%US$97.00US$80.00US$82.1713
Aug ’24US$85.59
US$91.83
+7.3%
5.2%US$101.00US$85.00US$81.0212
Jul ’24US$81.36
US$91.67
+12.7%
5.1%US$101.00US$86.00US$70.7812
Jun ’24US$80.49
US$93.64
+16.3%
6.1%US$102.00US$86.00US$72.5711
May ’24US$89.63
US$94.45
+5.4%
5.0%US$102.00US$86.00US$73.5611
Apr ’24US$86.36
US$91.82
+6.3%
4.4%US$97.00US$84.00US$73.6511
Mar ’24US$81.16
US$93.08
+14.7%
4.2%US$100.00US$86.00US$70.7312
Feb ’24US$86.83
US$93.58
+7.8%
4.6%US$101.00US$85.00US$70.7712
Jan ’24n/a
US$92.58
0%
6.9%US$101.00US$82.00US$71.9312
Dec ’23US$89.66
US$89.46
-0.2%
5.1%US$98.00US$82.00US$77.5113
Nov ’23US$81.96
US$89.54
+9.2%
7.1%US$102.00US$80.00US$76.8913

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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