Vistra Corp.

LSE:0A8O Stock Report

Market Cap: US$47.5b

Vistra Valuation

Is 0A8O undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A8O when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$454.43
Fair Value
69.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0A8O ($140.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($454.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A8O is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A8O?

Key metric: As 0A8O is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0A8O. This is calculated by dividing 0A8O's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0A8O's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.2x
EarningsUS$2.47b
Market CapUS$47.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A8O's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0A8O vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
NG. National Grid
30.3x13.7%UK£52.2b
SSE SSE
9.8x6.0%UK£18.6b
YU. Yü Group
7.5x7.6%UK£251.8m
SVT Severn Trent
35.8x21.0%UK£8.2b
0A8O Vistra
19.2x8.6%US$47.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0A8O is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A8O's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0A8O 19.2xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0A8O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (14.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A8O's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A8O PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0A8O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A8O forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$140.48
US$163.61
+16.5%
23.1%US$232.00US$56.00n/a18
Apr ’26US$120.33
US$171.06
+42.2%
23.2%US$232.00US$56.00n/a17
Mar ’26US$131.05
US$177.36
+35.3%
22.1%US$231.00US$52.00n/a16
Feb ’26US$172.91
US$174.86
+1.1%
21.5%US$231.00US$52.00n/a16
Jan ’26US$137.60
US$160.46
+16.6%
22.8%US$231.00US$52.00n/a15
Dec ’25US$159.84
US$157.46
-1.5%
22.2%US$231.00US$52.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$120.72
US$141.48
+17.2%
25.3%US$231.00US$46.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$121.60
US$123.83
+1.8%
21.0%US$157.00US$46.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$84.96
US$110.90
+30.5%
20.2%US$133.00US$46.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$76.05
US$110.63
+45.5%
21.0%US$133.00US$43.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$87.57
US$109.99
+25.6%
20.8%US$133.00US$43.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$98.69
US$108.99
+10.4%
20.9%US$133.00US$43.00n/a11
May ’25US$77.18
US$70.69
-8.4%
28.0%US$95.00US$32.00US$138.4311
Apr ’25US$69.36
US$58.80
-15.2%
24.5%US$78.00US$32.00US$120.3310
Mar ’25US$53.74
US$49.00
-8.8%
20.7%US$62.00US$26.00US$131.0510
Feb ’25US$42.76
US$42.30
-1.1%
13.9%US$48.00US$26.00US$172.9110
Jan ’25US$38.36
US$39.81
+3.8%
14.9%US$46.00US$26.00US$137.6010
Dec ’24US$36.10
US$39.50
+9.4%
14.7%US$46.00US$26.00US$159.8410
Nov ’24US$34.10
US$36.78
+7.9%
13.2%US$42.00US$26.00US$120.729
Oct ’24US$33.03
US$36.00
+9.0%
12.8%US$40.00US$26.00US$121.609
Sep ’24US$31.93
US$34.22
+7.2%
13.8%US$40.00US$24.00US$84.969
Aug ’24US$27.90
US$32.56
+16.7%
12.1%US$37.00US$24.00US$76.059
Jul ’24US$26.25
US$32.22
+22.7%
12.0%US$37.00US$24.00US$87.579
Jun ’24US$24.56
US$32.11
+30.8%
12.1%US$37.00US$24.00US$98.699
May ’24US$23.00
US$31.89
+38.7%
12.1%US$37.00US$24.00US$77.189
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
US$164.17
Fair Value
14.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
18
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/06 09:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/05 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vistra Corp. is covered by 27 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Moses SuttonBNP Paribas Exane
Ross FowlerBofA Global Research