Elia Group Valuation

Is ELIB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELIB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ELIB (€103.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€56.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ELIB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELIB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ELIB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.4x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ELIB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ELIB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.5x
SSE SSE
12.4x5.4%UK£21.2b
JEL Jersey Electricity
11.7x-8.8%UK£131.8m
CNA Centrica
5.6x-9.9%UK£6.1b
SVT Severn Trent
56.5x23.1%UK£7.9b
ELIB Elia Group
21.4x20.5%€7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ELIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (21.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ELIB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ELIB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELIB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELIB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ELIB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELIB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€121.00
0%
6.5%€133.00€109.00n/a10
Sep ’25€99.23
€119.73
+20.7%
9.7%€135.00€94.30n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
€118.83
0%
10.5%€135.00€94.30n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
€120.85
0%
11.2%€141.00€94.30n/a11
Jun ’25€93.05
€122.03
+31.1%
10.7%€141.00€94.30n/a11
May ’25n/a
€123.23
0%
11.2%€141.00€94.30n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
€123.37
0%
10.8%€141.00€94.30n/a9
Mar ’25€102.40
€123.61
+20.7%
13.1%€149.00€94.30n/a7
Feb ’25n/a
€125.79
0%
12.9%€149.00€94.30n/a8
Jan ’25€112.75
€119.76
+6.2%
13.9%€141.00€94.30n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
€118.33
0%
14.2%€141.00€94.30n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
€119.47
0%
14.6%€141.00€94.30n/a7
Oct ’24n/a
€125.96
0%
10.4%€141.00€106.00n/a7
Sep ’24n/a
€129.28
0%
8.5%€141.00€112.00€99.236
Aug ’24n/a
€129.28
0%
8.5%€141.00€112.00n/a6
Jul ’24€116.20
€124.18
+6.9%
10.4%€140.00€111.00n/a4
Jun ’24€112.70
€129.57
+15.0%
8.2%€140.00€115.00€93.053
May ’24€124.20
€129.57
+4.3%
8.2%€140.00€115.00n/a3
Apr ’24€121.30
€129.57
+6.8%
8.2%€140.00€115.00n/a3
Mar ’24€120.80
€129.57
+7.3%
8.2%€140.00€115.00€102.403
Feb ’24€129.60
€129.57
-0.03%
8.2%€140.00€115.00n/a3
Jan ’24€134.20
€124.35
-7.3%
7.5%€133.70€115.00€112.752
Dec ’23€135.10
€117.50
-13.0%
2.1%€120.00€115.00n/a2
Nov ’23€124.50
€117.24
-5.8%
2.3%€120.00€114.49n/a2
Oct ’23€122.70
€111.99
-8.7%
2.2%€114.49€109.50n/a2
Sep ’23€145.70
€111.99
-23.1%
2.2%€114.49€109.50n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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