Finnair Oyj Valuation

Is 0EG8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0EG8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0EG8 (€2.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0EG8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0EG8?

Key metric: As 0EG8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0EG8. This is calculated by dividing 0EG8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0EG8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
Earnings€68.20m
Market Cap€437.45m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0EG8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0EG8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
WIZZ Wizz Air Holdings
5.5x16.9%UK£1.3b
JET2 Jet2
6.5x-0.2%UK£3.2b
EZJ easyJet
10.4x10.3%UK£3.9b
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group
5.1x2.6%UK£12.0b
0EG8 Finnair Oyj
6.4x12.4%€437.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0EG8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0EG8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0EG8 6.4xIndustry Avg. 10.4xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0EG8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0EG8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0EG8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0EG8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0EG8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.14
€2.73
+27.7%
12.1%€3.20€2.50n/a3
Nov ’25€2.34
€2.73
+16.8%
12.1%€3.20€2.50n/a3
Oct ’25€2.55
€3.17
+24.4%
19.7%€4.00€2.50n/a3
Sep ’25€2.43
€3.17
+30.2%
19.7%€4.00€2.50n/a3
Aug ’25€2.31
€3.17
+37.1%
19.7%€4.00€2.50n/a3
Jul ’25€2.71
€3.78
+39.4%
6.5%€4.10€3.50n/a3
Jun ’25€2.83
€3.78
+33.5%
6.5%€4.10€3.50n/a3
May ’25€2.94
€3.84
+30.5%
6.1%€4.10€3.50n/a4
Apr ’25€2.94
€4.50
+53.0%
17.2%€6.00€4.00n/a5
Mar ’25€3.04
€4.60
+51.3%
17.4%€6.00€4.00n/a5
Feb ’25€3.53
€5.00
+41.8%
14.1%€6.00€4.00n/a4
Jan ’25€3.87
€5.00
+29.2%
14.1%€6.00€4.00n/a4
Dec ’24€3.70
€5.55
+50.0%
10.0%€6.21€5.00n/a4
Nov ’24€5.00
€16.55
+231.0%
116.7%€50.00€5.00€2.344
Oct ’24€51.59
€47.75
-7.4%
13.4%€54.00€37.00€2.554
Sep ’24€51.60
€47.75
-7.5%
13.4%€54.00€37.00€2.434
Aug ’24€56.59
€47.75
-15.6%
13.4%€54.00€37.00€2.314
Jul ’24€57.24
€43.25
-24.4%
13.9%€53.00€37.00€2.714
Jun ’24€54.60
€41.80
-23.4%
9.7%€49.00€37.00€2.835
May ’24€53.11
€40.20
-24.3%
11.9%€49.00€35.00€2.945
Apr ’24€51.35
€39.80
-22.5%
10.2%€47.00€35.00€2.945
Mar ’24€55.75
€39.80
-28.6%
10.2%€47.00€35.00€3.045
Feb ’24€52.15
€34.00
-34.8%
17.1%€40.00€25.00€3.535
Jan ’24€39.24
€31.25
-20.4%
20.8%€40.00€25.00€3.874
Dec ’23€45.40
€31.25
-31.2%
20.8%€40.00€25.00€3.704
Nov ’23€44.44
€31.25
-29.7%
20.8%€40.00€25.00€5.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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