InPost Valuation

Is 0A6K undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A6K when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0A6K (€17.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€41.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A6K is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A6K?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0A6K key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A6K's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0A6K vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
IDS International Distribution Services
60.5x47.6%UK£3.3b
DX. DX (Group)
13.5x6.7%UK£306.8m
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group
4.3x3.8%UK£9.4b
EZJ easyJet
9.9x11.1%UK£3.7b
0A6K InPost
37.3x24.5%€8.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0A6K is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A6K's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0A6K is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A6K's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A6K PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0A6K is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A6K forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.22
€18.41
+6.9%
20.1%€21.89€8.16n/a16
Sep ’25€16.80
€17.68
+5.2%
19.9%€21.22€8.14n/a15
Aug ’25€15.83
€17.71
+11.9%
19.9%€21.24€8.15n/a15
Jul ’25€16.25
€17.22
+6.0%
19.6%€20.95€8.04n/a15
Jun ’25€16.93
€16.78
-0.9%
18.6%€19.88€8.15n/a15
May ’25€15.25
€16.19
+6.2%
16.9%€18.92€8.12n/a14
Apr ’25€14.29
€14.88
+4.1%
17.4%€19.00€8.22n/a15
Mar ’25€14.41
€14.32
-0.6%
17.7%€18.16€8.22n/a15
Feb ’25€14.03
€13.83
-1.4%
16.7%€17.98€8.24n/a15
Jan ’25€12.52
€13.06
+4.3%
13.1%€15.10€8.26n/a15
Dec ’24€11.15
€13.15
+17.9%
13.0%€15.15€8.29n/a15
Nov ’24€9.33
€12.99
+39.2%
14.3%€15.69€8.47n/a15
Oct ’24€11.09
€12.53
+13.0%
20.2%€15.16€4.34€16.9115
Sep ’24€10.82
€10.98
+1.5%
19.5%€12.99€4.47€16.8015
Aug ’24€10.75
€10.84
+0.9%
18.3%€12.95€4.69€15.8315
Jul ’24€9.95
€10.84
+9.0%
18.2%€12.96€4.70€16.2515
Jun ’24€9.93
€10.41
+4.8%
18.3%€12.48€4.61€16.9314
May ’24€9.75
€10.13
+4.0%
18.3%€12.76€4.55€15.2513
Apr ’24€8.36
€9.67
+15.7%
21.2%€12.51€4.60€14.2912
Mar ’24€7.99
€9.58
+19.9%
20.8%€12.32€4.52€14.4112
Feb ’24€8.92
€9.51
+6.6%
21.6%€12.47€4.58€14.0312
Jan ’24€7.91
€8.57
+8.5%
22.7%€12.52€4.60€12.5212
Dec ’23€7.37
€8.46
+14.9%
21.3%€12.52€4.60€11.1512
Nov ’23€6.27
€8.17
+30.3%
22.7%€12.55€4.70€9.3312
Oct ’23€6.01
€8.05
+33.8%
22.7%€12.32€4.61€11.0912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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