NTG Nordic Transport Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of NTGC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

NTGC (DKK274.5) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (DKK605.1)

Is NTGC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NTGC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NTGC (DKK274.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK605.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NTGC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTGC?

Key metric: As NTGC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NTGC. This is calculated by dividing NTGC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NTGC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18.5x
Earnings	DKK 349.00m
Market Cap	DKK 6.44b

NTGC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.7x
PEG Ratio	2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NTGC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NTGC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	8.3x
ZIG Zigup	6.7x	-5.7%	UK£841.7m
GLTR Globaltrans Investment	2x	n/a	US$715.1m
FGP FirstGroup	9.7x	9.9%	UK£920.0m
ICGC Irish Continental Group	14.9x	n/a	UK£776.8m
NTGC NTG Nordic Transport Group	18.5x	7.3%	DKK 6.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTGC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NTGC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTGC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NTGC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NTGC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18.5x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NTGC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.