InPost Valuation

Is INPSTA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INPSTA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INPSTA (€17.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€41.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INPSTA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INPSTA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

INPSTA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does INPSTA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for INPSTA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
IDS International Distribution Services
60.5x47.6%UK£3.3b
DX. DX (Group)
13.5x6.7%UK£306.8m
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group
4.3x3.8%UK£9.4b
EZJ easyJet
9.9x11.1%UK£3.7b
INPSTA InPost
37.3x24.5%€8.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: INPSTA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does INPSTA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: INPSTA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.3x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INPSTA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INPSTA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate INPSTA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INPSTA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.30
€18.41
+6.4%
20.1%€21.89€8.16n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
€17.68
0%
19.9%€21.22€8.14n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
€17.71
0%
19.9%€21.24€8.15n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
€17.22
0%
19.6%€20.95€8.04n/a15
Jun ’25€16.81
€16.78
-0.2%
18.6%€19.88€8.15n/a15
May ’25n/a
€16.19
0%
16.9%€18.92€8.12n/a14
Apr ’25€14.22
€14.88
+4.6%
17.4%€19.00€8.22n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
€14.32
0%
17.7%€18.16€8.22n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
€13.83
0%
16.7%€17.98€8.24n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
€13.06
0%
13.1%€15.10€8.26n/a15
Dec ’24€10.84
€13.15
+21.3%
13.0%€15.15€8.29n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
€12.99
0%
14.3%€15.69€8.47n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
€12.53
0%
20.2%€15.16€4.34€16.8315
Sep ’24n/a
€10.98
0%
19.5%€12.99€4.47n/a15
Aug ’24n/a
€10.84
0%
18.3%€12.95€4.69n/a15
Jul ’24€9.74
€10.84
+11.3%
18.2%€12.96€4.70n/a15
Jun ’24€9.39
€10.41
+10.8%
18.3%€12.48€4.61€16.8114
May ’24€9.03
€10.13
+12.2%
18.3%€12.76€4.55n/a13
Apr ’24€8.47
€9.67
+14.2%
21.2%€12.51€4.60€14.2212
Mar ’24€8.01
€9.58
+19.6%
20.8%€12.32€4.52n/a12
Feb ’24€8.81
€9.51
+7.9%
21.6%€12.47€4.58n/a12
Jan ’24€7.98
€8.57
+7.5%
22.7%€12.52€4.60n/a12
Dec ’23€7.41
€8.46
+14.2%
21.3%€12.52€4.60€10.8412
Nov ’23€6.22
€8.17
+31.3%
22.7%€12.55€4.70n/a12
Oct ’23€5.95
€8.05
+35.2%
22.7%€12.32€4.61n/a12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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