Hapag-Lloyd Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of HLAGD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HLAGD (€154.5) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (€108.65)

Is HLAGD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLAGD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLAGD (€154.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€108.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLAGD is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLAGD?

Key metric: As HLAGD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLAGD. This is calculated by dividing HLAGD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLAGD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	20.2x
Earnings	€1.34b
Market Cap	€27.12b

HLAGD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.7x
PEG Ratio	-0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLAGD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLAGD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	12x
CKN Clarkson	14.4x	2.5%	UK£1.2b
ICGC Irish Continental Group	14.9x	n/a	UK£776.8m
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group	5.2x	2.6%	UK£12.4b
IDS International Distribution Services	13.2x	28.9%	UK£3.3b
HLAGD Hapag-Lloyd	20.2x	-23.0%	€27.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLAGD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLAGD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLAGD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLAGD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLAGD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	20.2x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HLAGD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.