DFDS Valuation

Is DFDSC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFDSC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DFDSC (DKK144) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK929.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DFDSC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFDSC?

Key metric: As DFDSC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DFDSC. This is calculated by dividing DFDSC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DFDSC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsDKK 980.00m
Market CapDKK 6.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFDSC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFDSC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.8x
ICGC Irish Continental Group
14.5xn/aUK£748.8m
CKN Clarkson
14.6x2.5%UK£1.2b
ZIG Zigup
7.6x6.1%UK£713.5m
FGP FirstGroup
10.4x3.4%UK£984.1m
DFDSC DFDS
7x32.5%DKK 6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFDSC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFDSC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFDSC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFDSC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFDSC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DFDSC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFDSC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
DKK 347.50
0%
7.9%DKK 375.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Dec ’25n/a
DKK 347.50
0%
7.9%DKK 375.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Nov ’25n/a
DKK 347.50
0%
7.9%DKK 375.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Oct ’25DKK 170.00
DKK 347.50
+104.4%
7.9%DKK 375.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Sep ’25n/a
DKK 342.50
0%
6.6%DKK 365.00DKK 320.00n/a2
Aug ’25n/a
DKK 324.00
0%
17.9%DKK 402.00DKK 239.00n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
DKK 348.00
0%
12.5%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
DKK 348.00
0%
12.5%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
May ’25n/a
DKK 349.25
0%
13.0%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Apr ’25DKK 200.40
DKK 349.25
+74.3%
13.0%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
DKK 349.25
0%
13.0%DKK 402.00DKK 285.00n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
DKK 374.00
0%
14.7%DKK 451.00DKK 315.00n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
DKK 364.50
0%
14.6%DKK 433.00DKK 310.00n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
DKK 359.50
0%
16.4%DKK 433.00DKK 290.00n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
DKK 385.00
0%
14.3%DKK 450.00DKK 300.00n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
DKK 396.25
0%
9.7%DKK 450.00DKK 345.00DKK 170.004
Sep ’24n/a
DKK 396.25
0%
9.7%DKK 450.00DKK 345.00n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
DKK 385.00
0%
8.3%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
DKK 385.00
0%
8.3%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
DKK 393.33
0%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00n/a3
May ’24n/a
DKK 393.33
0%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
DKK 393.33
0%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00DKK 200.403
Mar ’24n/a
DKK 393.33
0%
8.4%DKK 430.00DKK 350.00n/a3
Feb ’24n/a
DKK 391.67
0%
8.9%DKK 435.00DKK 350.00n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
DKK 396.67
0%
7.3%DKK 435.00DKK 365.00n/a3
Dec ’23DKK 247.60
DKK 396.67
+60.2%
7.3%DKK 435.00DKK 365.00n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 05:56
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/05 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

DFDS A/S is covered by 8 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Marcus BellanderCarnegie Investment Bank AB
null nullDanske Bank
Michael Vitfell-RasmussenDanske Bank