bpost/SA Valuation

Is BPOSTB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BPOSTB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BPOSTB (€4.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BPOSTB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BPOSTB?

Key metric: As BPOSTB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BPOSTB. This is calculated by dividing BPOSTB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BPOSTB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.9x
Earnings€111.30m
Market Cap€763.60m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BPOSTB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BPOSTB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.5x
DX. DX (Group)
13.5x6.7%UK£306.8m
IDS International Distribution Services
61.5x45.3%UK£3.3b
FGP FirstGroup
9.3x9.9%UK£879.9m
GLTR Globaltrans Investment
1.9xn/aUS$715.1m
BPOSTB bpost/SA
6.9x22.8%€763.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BPOSTB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BPOSTB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BPOSTB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BPOSTB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BPOSTB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BPOSTB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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