Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Jet2 plc (LON:JET2) Hampers Share Price

AIM:JET2
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.7x Jet2 plc (LON:JET2) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United Kingdom have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 29x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Jet2 certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Jet2

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:JET2 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 30th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jet2 will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Jet2?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jet2 would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 37% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.6% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jet2's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Jet2's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Jet2 maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Jet2 with six simple checks.

You might be able to find a better investment than Jet2. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.