Orange Belgium Valuation

Is 0FBS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0FBS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0FBS (€14.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€24.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0FBS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0FBS?

Key metric: As 0FBS is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0FBS. This is calculated by dividing 0FBS's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0FBS's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
Sales€1.99b
Market Cap€999.05m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0FBS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0FBS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
AAF Airtel Africa
0.9x12.0%UK£3.5b
VOD Vodafone Group
0.6x0.9%UK£18.1b
HTWS Helios Towers
1.9x8.0%UK£1.1b
GAMA Gamma Communications
2.8x6.6%UK£1.5b
0FBS Orange Belgium
0.5x0.7%€999.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0FBS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0FBS's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0FBS 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies16PS012345+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0FBS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0FBS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0FBS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0FBS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0FBS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.80
€17.23
+16.4%
16.7%€22.00€14.80n/a8
Nov ’25€14.80
€17.10
+15.5%
17.5%€22.00€14.00n/a8
Oct ’25€14.85
€17.10
+15.2%
17.5%€22.00€14.00n/a8
Sep ’25€14.83
€17.10
+15.3%
17.5%€22.00€14.00n/a8
Aug ’25€14.83
€17.98
+21.2%
18.2%€22.00€14.00n/a8
Jul ’25€14.87
€18.98
+27.6%
26.7%€30.00€14.00n/a8
Jun ’25€14.78
€18.98
+28.4%
26.7%€30.00€14.00n/a8
May ’25€14.12
€18.54
+31.3%
28.5%€30.00€14.00n/a7
Apr ’25€13.72
€18.54
+35.2%
28.2%€30.00€14.80n/a7
Mar ’25€13.10
€18.98
+44.8%
26.5%€30.00€14.80n/a8
Feb ’25€13.12
€19.06
+45.3%
26.2%€30.00€14.50n/a8
Jan ’25€13.50
€19.19
+42.1%
25.8%€30.00€14.50n/a8
Dec ’24€13.48
€19.28
+43.0%
24.2%€30.00€14.50n/a9
Nov ’24€13.41
€19.50
+45.4%
23.6%€30.00€14.50€14.809
Oct ’24€13.74
€19.97
+45.3%
21.7%€30.00€14.50€14.859
Sep ’24€13.56
€19.87
+46.5%
20.7%€30.00€14.50€14.8310
Aug ’24€13.90
€20.27
+45.8%
19.9%€30.00€14.50€14.8310
Jul ’24€13.84
€20.57
+48.6%
17.0%€30.00€16.00€14.8711
Jun ’24€13.74
€20.84
+51.7%
15.5%€30.00€17.75€14.7811
May ’24€14.72
€20.84
+41.6%
15.5%€30.00€17.75€14.1211
Apr ’24€15.26
€20.63
+35.2%
15.4%€30.00€18.00€13.7212
Mar ’24€16.04
€20.63
+28.6%
15.4%€30.00€18.00€13.1012
Feb ’24€16.70
€20.70
+24.0%
15.4%€30.00€17.50€13.1212
Jan ’24€17.02
€20.81
+22.3%
15.0%€30.00€17.50€13.5012
Dec ’23€16.88
€21.48
+27.2%
16.3%€30.00€17.50€13.4812
Nov ’23€17.12
€21.48
+25.4%
16.3%€30.00€17.50€13.4112

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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