Telefónica, S.A.

BATS-CHIXE:TEFE Stock Report

Market Cap: €23.7b

Telefónica Valuation

Is TEFE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TEFE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TEFE (€4.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TEFE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TEFE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TEFE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TEFE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TEFE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
BT.A BT Group
0.5x0.03%UK£10.1b
HTWS Helios Towers
1.8x8.4%UK£1.1b
VOD Vodafone Group
0.5x-1.7%UK£18.3b
SCMN Swisscom
2.4x0.1%CHF26.1b
TEFE Telefónica
0.6x0.7%€23.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TEFE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TEFE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TEFE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TEFE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TEFE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TEFE is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TEFE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.25
€4.26
+0.1%
12.0%€5.10€3.30n/a23
Apr ’25€4.11
€4.31
+4.8%
11.6%€5.10€3.30n/a22
Mar ’25€3.84
€4.28
+11.6%
12.2%€5.00€3.30n/a22
Feb ’25€3.76
€4.23
+12.5%
11.9%€5.00€3.20n/a22
Jan ’25€3.54
€4.23
+19.5%
12.2%€5.00€3.20n/a21
Dec ’24€3.99
€4.23
+6.2%
13.2%€5.10€3.20n/a21
Nov ’24€3.60
€4.15
+15.2%
15.4%€5.10€2.70n/a23
Oct ’24€3.84
€4.22
+9.7%
14.9%€5.10€2.70n/a23
Sep ’24n/a
€4.23
0%
15.1%€5.00€2.70n/a25
Aug ’24€3.84
€4.40
+14.5%
13.5%€5.30€3.00n/a25
Jul ’24€3.69
€4.39
+19.1%
14.3%€5.30€2.70n/a24
Jun ’24€3.93
€4.39
+11.7%
15.2%€5.60€2.70n/a24
May ’24€4.12
€4.30
+4.4%
17.6%€5.60€2.70€4.2526
Apr ’24€3.96
€4.32
+9.1%
17.5%€5.60€2.70€4.1126
Mar ’24€3.90
€4.30
+10.3%
18.5%€5.60€2.50€3.8426
Feb ’24€3.47
€4.40
+26.5%
19.8%€6.40€2.50€3.7626
Jan ’24€3.38
€4.51
+33.5%
19.6%€6.40€2.70€3.5425
Dec ’23€3.63
€4.58
+26.0%
20.8%€6.40€2.70€3.9925
Nov ’23€3.51
€4.75
+35.4%
19.8%€6.40€2.75€3.6026
Oct ’23€3.38
€4.85
+43.6%
18.1%€6.40€3.15€3.8427
Sep ’23€4.16
€4.97
+19.6%
16.8%€6.40€3.50n/a27
Aug ’23€4.27
€4.98
+16.6%
16.8%€6.40€3.50€3.8427
Jul ’23€4.87
€4.99
+2.4%
17.2%€6.40€3.50€3.6926
Jun ’23€4.79
€5.01
+4.8%
16.2%€6.40€3.50€3.9327
May ’23€4.63
€4.86
+4.9%
16.4%€6.40€3.50€4.1227

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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