Swisscom AG

BATS-CHIXE:SCMNZ Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 27.5b

Swisscom Valuation

Is SCMNZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCMNZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SCMNZ (CHF531.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF677.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCMNZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCMNZ?

Key metric: As SCMNZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SCMNZ. This is calculated by dividing SCMNZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SCMNZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.1x
EarningsCHF 1.71b
Market CapCHF 27.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCMNZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCMNZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
BT.A BT Group
18.5x14.1%UK£14.2b
VOD Vodafone Group
8.7x3.7%UK£17.1b
2412 Chunghwa Telecom
26.1x3.1%NT$954.2b
TLS Telstra Group
28.3x10.5%AU$45.9b
SCMNZ Swisscom
16.1x0.1%CHF 27.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCMNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCMNZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCMNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCMNZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCMNZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SCMNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SCMNZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 544.78
0%
14.1%CHF 730.00CHF 418.00n/a18
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 543.00
0%
14.4%CHF 750.00CHF 418.00n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 542.89
0%
14.5%CHF 750.00CHF 421.00n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 547.35
0%
14.8%CHF 750.00CHF 421.00n/a17
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 545.25
0%
15.5%CHF 750.00CHF 410.00n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 549.27
0%
15.4%CHF 750.00CHF 410.00n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 550.33
0%
15.1%CHF 750.00CHF 421.00n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 552.67
0%
15.1%CHF 750.00CHF 421.00n/a15
May ’25CHF 503.50
CHF 559.00
+11.0%
14.8%CHF 750.00CHF 421.00n/a15
Apr ’25CHF 552.00
CHF 558.80
+1.2%
14.8%CHF 750.00CHF 421.00n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 552.13
0%
13.0%CHF 670.00CHF 421.00n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 542.94
0%
13.5%CHF 670.00CHF 414.00n/a16
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 545.38
0%
13.4%CHF 670.00CHF 414.00n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 558.69
0%
14.3%CHF 700.00CHF 414.00n/a16
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 563.00
0%
14.1%CHF 700.00CHF 419.00n/a16
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 567.53
0%
14.0%CHF 700.00CHF 419.00n/a17
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 573.29
0%
13.0%CHF 700.00CHF 440.00n/a17
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 580.00
0%
13.1%CHF 700.00CHF 440.00n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 579.41
0%
12.9%CHF 680.00CHF 440.00n/a17
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 579.97
0%
12.6%CHF 680.00CHF 440.00n/a18
May ’24n/a
CHF 574.86
0%
12.5%CHF 680.00CHF 440.00CHF 503.5018
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 567.23
0%
12.3%CHF 680.00CHF 440.00CHF 552.0019
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 559.02
0%
12.6%CHF 702.00CHF 440.00n/a18
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 533.97
0%
15.4%CHF 702.00CHF 380.00n/a18
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 522.47
0%
15.5%CHF 702.00CHF 380.00n/a18
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 523.80
0%
14.2%CHF 674.00CHF 380.00n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/03/20 00:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/03/20 00:00
Earnings2023/12/31
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Swisscom AG is covered by 45 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Heinz SteffenAlphaValue
Jean-Michel SalvadorAlphaValue
Serge RotzerBank Vontobel AG