Koninklijke KPN N.V.

BATS-CHIXE:KPNA Stock Report

Market Cap: €14.3b

Koninklijke KPN Valuation

Is KPNA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KPNA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KPNA (€3.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€9.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KPNA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KPNA?

Key metric: As KPNA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KPNA. This is calculated by dividing KPNA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KPNA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.8x
Earnings€800.00m
Market Cap€14.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KPNA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KPNA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
BT.A BT Group
20.4x14.4%UK£15.6b
VOD Vodafone Group
9.4x5.2%UK£18.5b
GAMA Gamma Communications
27.4x14.2%UK£1.5b
TLKM Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
11.9x6.9%Rp269.4t
KPNA Koninklijke KPN
17.8x6.8%€14.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KPNA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KPNA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KPNA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KPNA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KPNA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KPNA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KPNA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€3.86
0%
12.5%€4.70€2.30n/a22
Nov ’25€3.73
€3.84
+2.9%
12.4%€4.70€2.30n/a22
Oct ’25€3.68
€3.81
+3.7%
11.9%€4.50€2.30n/a22
Sep ’25€3.70
€3.78
+2.2%
12.2%€4.50€2.30n/a21
Aug ’25€3.62
€3.78
+4.5%
12.3%€4.50€2.30n/a21
Jul ’25€3.61
€3.70
+2.4%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
Jun ’25€3.45
€3.69
+6.7%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
May ’25€3.41
€3.69
+8.1%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
Apr ’25€3.47
€3.66
+5.4%
13.4%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Mar ’25n/a
€3.63
0%
13.4%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Feb ’25€3.21
€3.62
+12.5%
13.5%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
€3.59
0%
13.6%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Dec ’24€3.13
€3.58
+14.1%
12.9%€4.30€2.30n/a20
Nov ’24€3.18
€3.60
+13.3%
13.1%€4.30€2.30€3.7320
Oct ’24€3.13
€3.61
+15.2%
13.6%€4.40€2.30€3.6820
Sep ’24€3.24
€3.64
+12.5%
13.5%€4.40€2.30€3.7019
Aug ’24€3.29
€3.64
+10.6%
13.5%€4.40€2.30€3.6219
Jul ’24€3.28
€3.64
+11.2%
13.1%€4.40€2.30€3.6118
Jun ’24€3.23
€3.61
+11.8%
12.8%€4.40€2.30€3.4519
May ’24€3.26
€3.58
+9.8%
14.1%€4.40€2.30€3.4119
Apr ’24€3.23
€3.54
+9.3%
14.2%€4.40€2.30€3.4720
Mar ’24€3.21
€3.52
+9.6%
14.6%€4.40€2.30n/a20
Feb ’24€3.16
€3.42
+8.2%
16.4%€4.40€2.30€3.2120
Jan ’24€2.93
€3.39
+15.5%
16.2%€4.40€2.30n/a20
Dec ’23€2.99
€3.42
+14.3%
15.8%€4.40€2.30€3.1320
Nov ’23€2.82
€3.42
+21.3%
15.7%€4.40€2.30€3.1821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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