Stock Analysis

We Think Bigblu Broadband (LON:BBB) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

AIM:BBB
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So, the natural question for Bigblu Broadband (LON:BBB) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Bigblu Broadband

When Might Bigblu Broadband Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at November 2020, Bigblu Broadband had cash of UK£15m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. In the last year, its cash burn was UK£15m. That means it had a cash runway of around 12 months as of November 2020. Importantly, the one analyst we see covering the stock thinks that Bigblu Broadband will reach cashflow breakeven in around 22 months. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:BBB Debt to Equity History April 2nd 2021

How Well Is Bigblu Broadband Growing?

One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that Bigblu Broadband increased its cash burn by 237% in the last twelve months. And that is all the more of a concern in light of the fact that operating revenue was actually down by 56% in the last year, as the company no doubt scrambles to change its fortunes. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can Bigblu Broadband Raise Cash?

Bigblu Broadband revenue is declining and its cash burn is increasing, so many may be considering its need to raise more cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Bigblu Broadband's cash burn of UK£15m is about 25% of its UK£60m market capitalisation. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Bigblu Broadband's Cash Burn?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Bigblu Broadband's cash runway was relatively promising. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that at least one analyst is forecasting it will reach breakeven. Summing up, we think the Bigblu Broadband's cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 1 warning sign for Bigblu Broadband that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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