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Velodyne Lidar Valuation

Is 0A97 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A97 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0A97 ($1.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A97 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A97?

Key metric: As 0A97 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0A97. This is calculated by dividing 0A97's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0A97's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.7x
SalesUS$44.87m
Market CapUS$300.24m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A97's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0A97 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
SEE Seeing Machines
2.5x21.4%UK£134.5m
SPSY Spectra Systems
4.9x12.2%UK£121.5m
SDI SDI Group
1xn/aUK£65.3m
SNX Synectics
1x7.9%UK£51.5m
0A97 Velodyne Lidar
6.7x39.0%US$300.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0A97 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (5.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A97's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Electronic Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MIDW Midwich Group
0.2x3.2%US$373.47m
NAR Northamber
0.1xn/aUS$9.80m
HDT Holders Technology
0.2xn/aUS$2.71m
TWD Trackwise Designs
0.1xn/aUS$1.14m
0A97 6.7xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies6PS012345+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0A97 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.7x) compared to the UK Electronic industry average (1.4x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A97's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A97 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0A97 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A97 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
May ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
May ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Mar ’24n/a
US$1.72
0%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Feb ’24US$1.21
US$1.72
+41.3%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Jan ’24US$0.79
US$1.72
+117.3%
53.9%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Dec ’23US$1.07
US$1.85
+72.9%
47.8%US$3.00US$0.85n/a3
Nov ’23US$0.94
US$3.53
+276.4%
108.5%US$12.00US$1.00n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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