Gooch & Housego PLC's (LON:GHH) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 35% Share Price Bounce
The Gooch & Housego PLC (LON:GHH) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.8% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, Gooch & Housego may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.4x, since almost half of all companies in the United Kingdom have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for Gooch & Housego as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Gooch & Housego
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Gooch & Housego's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 146% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 10% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 28% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 16% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Gooch & Housego's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Gooch & Housego have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Gooch & Housego maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Gooch & Housego that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Gooch & Housego. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:GHH
Gooch & Housego
Engages in the manufacture and sale of acousto-optics, electro-optics, fiber optics, and precision optics and systems in the United Kingdom, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.
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