FDM Group (Holdings) plc

LSE:FDM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£354.6m

FDM Group (Holdings) Valuation

Is FDM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FDM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FDM (£3.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£3.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FDM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FDM?

Key metric: As FDM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FDM. This is calculated by dividing FDM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FDM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.7x
EarningsUK£30.43m
Market CapUK£354.59m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FDM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FDM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.3x
ECK Eckoh
33.5x8.7%UK£152.5m
CLBS Celebrus Technologies
29.8x10.3%UK£120.2m
KNOS Kainos Group
20.1x1.7%UK£1.0b
SPA 1Spatial
49.7x42.6%UK£74.5m
FDM FDM Group (Holdings)
11.7x-5.9%UK£354.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FDM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (33.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FDM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European IT Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FDM 11.7xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies22PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FDM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the European IT industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FDM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FDM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio26.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FDM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FDM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.25
UK£4.88
+50.3%
17.9%UK£6.00UK£3.60n/a6
Nov ’25UK£3.60
UK£5.12
+42.1%
16.4%UK£6.15UK£3.90n/a6
Oct ’25UK£3.87
UK£5.12
+32.2%
16.4%UK£6.15UK£3.90n/a6
Sep ’25UK£4.16
UK£4.87
+17.0%
20.3%UK£6.15UK£3.37n/a7
Aug ’25UK£4.27
UK£4.87
+14.1%
20.3%UK£6.15UK£3.37n/a7
Jul ’25UK£4.05
UK£4.66
+15.1%
22.6%UK£6.00UK£3.37n/a7
Jun ’25UK£4.51
UK£4.44
-1.5%
21.9%UK£5.75UK£3.37n/a6
May ’25UK£3.49
UK£4.44
+27.3%
21.9%UK£5.75UK£3.37n/a6
Apr ’25UK£3.43
UK£4.44
+29.3%
21.9%UK£5.75UK£3.37n/a6
Mar ’25UK£4.06
UK£5.64
+39.0%
19.1%UK£7.20UK£4.30n/a6
Feb ’25UK£4.50
UK£5.64
+25.3%
19.1%UK£7.20UK£4.30n/a6
Jan ’25UK£4.59
UK£6.08
+32.6%
20.6%UK£7.75UK£4.30n/a6
Dec ’24UK£3.92
UK£6.08
+55.3%
20.6%UK£7.75UK£4.30n/a6
Nov ’24UK£4.24
UK£7.87
+85.8%
14.3%UK£10.00UK£6.70UK£3.606
Oct ’24UK£5.20
UK£7.87
+51.3%
14.3%UK£10.00UK£6.70UK£3.876
Sep ’24UK£5.71
UK£7.87
+37.8%
14.3%UK£10.00UK£6.70UK£4.166
Aug ’24UK£5.38
UK£8.10
+50.6%
13.1%UK£10.00UK£6.70UK£4.276
Jul ’24UK£5.61
UK£9.21
+64.2%
17.8%UK£12.00UK£7.00UK£4.055
Jun ’24UK£6.86
UK£9.71
+41.5%
20.1%UK£12.50UK£7.00UK£4.516
May ’24UK£6.73
UK£10.91
+62.1%
15.8%UK£14.00UK£9.40UK£3.496
Apr ’24UK£7.25
UK£10.91
+50.5%
15.8%UK£14.00UK£9.40UK£3.436
Mar ’24UK£8.47
UK£11.28
+33.1%
14.7%UK£14.00UK£9.55UK£4.066
Feb ’24UK£8.05
UK£11.28
+40.1%
14.7%UK£14.00UK£9.55UK£4.506
Jan ’24UK£7.49
UK£11.38
+52.0%
13.8%UK£14.00UK£9.55UK£4.596
Dec ’23UK£7.60
UK£11.38
+49.8%
13.8%UK£14.00UK£9.55UK£3.926
Nov ’23UK£6.42
UK£11.38
+77.3%
13.8%UK£14.00UK£9.55UK£4.246

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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