Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying FDM Group (Holdings)'s (LON:FDM) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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LSE:FDM

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that FDM Group (Holdings) plc (LON:FDM) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Meaning, you will need to purchase FDM Group (Holdings)'s shares before the 6th of June to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 28th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be UK£0.19 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of UK£0.36 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, FDM Group (Holdings) has a trailing yield of approximately 8.0% on its current stock price of UK£4.505. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether FDM Group (Holdings) can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for FDM Group (Holdings)

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. FDM Group (Holdings) paid out 96% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out more than three-quarters (79%) of its free cash flow generated, which is fairly high and may be starting to limit reinvestment in the business.

It's good to see that while FDM Group (Holdings)'s dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company continues paying out such a high percentage of its profits, the dividend could be at risk if business turns sour.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

LSE:FDM Historic Dividend June 2nd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. It's not encouraging to see that FDM Group (Holdings)'s earnings are effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. FDM Group (Holdings) has delivered 10% dividend growth per year on average over the past nine years.

Final Takeaway

Is FDM Group (Holdings) an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Earnings per share have barely moved in recent times, and the company is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of its income. Fortunately its cash generation was somewhat stronger. Bottom line: FDM Group (Holdings) has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

So if you're still interested in FDM Group (Holdings) despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs for FDM Group (Holdings) (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether FDM Group (Holdings) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.