Software Aktiengesellschaft

BATS-CHIXE:SOWD Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.7b

Software Valuation

Is SOWD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SOWD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SOWD (€36.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€35.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SOWD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SOWD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SOWD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SOWD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SOWD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.1x
DARK Darktrace
7.9x18.1%UK£3.9b
BLTG Blancco Technology Group
3.9x9.7%UK£173.0m
CNS Corero Network Security
3.4x12.5%UK£61.1m
KBT K3 Business Technology Group
1.1xn/aUK£46.3m
SOWD Software
2.7x5.2%€2.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SOWD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SOWD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SOWD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the UK Software industry average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SOWD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SOWD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.7x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SOWD's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SOWD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€29.50
0%
32.2%€39.00€20.00n/a2
Apr ’25n/a
€29.50
0%
32.2%€39.00€20.00n/a2
Mar ’25n/a
€29.50
0%
32.2%€39.00€20.00n/a2
Feb ’25n/a
€29.58
0%
20.4%€39.00€20.00n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
€28.42
0%
16.2%€32.00€20.00n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
€29.61
0%
13.9%€32.00€20.00n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
€29.85
0%
13.3%€32.00€20.00n/a10
Oct ’24n/a
€29.85
0%
13.3%€32.00€20.00n/a10
Sep ’24n/a
€29.85
0%
13.3%€32.00€20.00n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
€29.85
0%
13.3%€32.00€20.00n/a10
Jul ’24€31.70
€30.04
-5.2%
12.5%€33.00€20.00n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
€30.04
0%
12.5%€33.00€20.00n/a12
May ’24€31.00
€27.46
-11.4%
15.3%€33.00€20.00n/a12
Apr ’24€19.66
€24.69
+25.6%
19.7%€35.00€18.00n/a14
Mar ’24€19.17
€25.19
+31.4%
19.5%€35.00€18.00n/a14
Feb ’24€26.22
€28.32
+8.0%
15.9%€37.00€21.00n/a14
Jan ’24n/a
€28.89
0%
18.4%€38.00€21.00n/a14
Dec ’23n/a
€28.86
0%
18.4%€38.00€21.00n/a14
Nov ’23€22.20
€29.00
+30.6%
19.4%€38.00€21.00n/a14
Oct ’23n/a
€32.71
0%
18.0%€43.00€22.00n/a14
Sep ’23€25.96
€32.71
+26.0%
18.0%€43.00€22.00n/a14
Aug ’23€26.74
€33.23
+24.3%
17.1%€43.00€22.00n/a13
Jul ’23n/a
€37.54
0%
15.9%€48.00€26.00€31.7013
Jun ’23€31.26
€37.54
+20.1%
15.9%€48.00€26.00n/a13
May ’23€29.80
€37.31
+25.2%
15.9%€48.00€26.00€31.0013
Apr ’23€31.90
€39.35
+23.3%
15.2%€50.00€30.00€19.6613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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