Northern Data Valuation

Is NB2D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NB2D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NB2D (€28.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€93.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NB2D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NB2D?

Key metric: As NB2D is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NB2D. This is calculated by dividing NB2D's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NB2D's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio28.5x
Sales€77.53m
Market Cap€2.21b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NB2D's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NB2D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
BYIT Bytes Technology Group
5.4x11.0%UK£1.1b
GBG GB Group
3.3x6.9%UK£932.8m
ALFA Alfa Financial Software Holdings
6.3x9.6%UK£643.4m
CER Cerillion
12.5x10.6%UK£546.4m
NB2D Northern Data
28.5x31.5%€2.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NB2D is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (28.5x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NB2D's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Software Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0.3xn/aUS$79.55m
SWG Shearwater Group
0.4xn/aUS$10.90m
MBO MobilityOne
0.01xn/aUS$3.00m
CCS Crossword Cybersecurity
0.5xn/aUS$2.46m
No. of Companies13PS0246810+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NB2D is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (28.5x) compared to the UK Software industry average (2.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NB2D's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NB2D PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio28.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NB2D's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NB2D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€42.13
0%
11.6%€48.50€36.00n/a4
Nov ’25€28.08
€42.13
+50.0%
11.6%€48.50€36.00n/a4
Oct ’25€25.68
€37.13
+44.6%
13.5%€45.00€31.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€37.13
0%
13.5%€45.00€31.00n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€39.17
0%
10.5%€45.00€36.00n/a3
Jul ’25€23.88
€40.00
+67.5%
9.4%€45.00€36.00n/a3
Jun ’25€24.28
€40.00
+64.8%
9.4%€45.00€36.00n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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