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Darktrace Valuation

Is DARKL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DARKL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DARKL (£5.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£6.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DARKL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DARKL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DARKL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA43.2x
PEG Ratio5.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DARKL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DARKL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average78.1x
BLTG Blancco Technology Group
63x36.0%UK£173.0m
CNS Corero Network Security
199.3x49.2%UK£122.9m
SGE Sage Group
36.8x15.1%UK£9.8b
CCC Computacenter
13.4x7.4%UK£2.3b
DARKL Darktrace
44.8x7.8%UK£3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DARKL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.8x) compared to the peer average (73.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DARKL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DARKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.8x) compared to the UK Software industry average (34.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DARKL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DARKL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.8x
Fair PE Ratio37x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DARKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DARKL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
UK£6.12
0%
2.5%UK£6.30UK£5.75n/a11
Oct ’25UK£5.78
UK£6.12
+6.0%
2.5%UK£6.30UK£5.75n/a11
Sep ’25UK£5.83
UK£6.13
+5.1%
2.4%UK£6.30UK£5.75n/a12
Aug ’25UK£5.94
UK£6.16
+3.6%
2.1%UK£6.30UK£5.75n/a12
Jul ’25UK£5.77
UK£6.16
+6.6%
2.1%UK£6.30UK£5.75n/a12
Jun ’25UK£5.87
UK£6.17
+5.2%
2.6%UK£6.50UK£5.75n/a13
May ’25UK£6.02
UK£6.32
+5.0%
8.4%UK£8.00UK£5.75n/a12
Apr ’25UK£4.38
UK£5.28
+20.7%
19.1%UK£7.00UK£2.70n/a16
Mar ’25UK£3.61
UK£5.13
+42.0%
19.4%UK£7.00UK£2.70n/a15
Feb ’25UK£3.45
UK£5.13
+48.6%
19.4%UK£7.00UK£2.70n/a15
Jan ’25UK£3.67
UK£5.25
+43.3%
19.7%UK£7.00UK£2.60n/a14
Dec ’24UK£3.48
UK£5.24
+50.7%
19.5%UK£7.00UK£2.60n/a14
Nov ’24UK£3.49
UK£5.09
+45.8%
18.2%UK£6.50UK£2.40n/a14
Oct ’24UK£4.04
UK£5.03
+24.4%
18.1%UK£6.50UK£2.40UK£5.7814
Sep ’24UK£3.69
UK£4.84
+31.1%
22.5%UK£6.50UK£2.40UK£5.8315
Aug ’24UK£3.67
UK£4.71
+28.2%
22.5%UK£6.50UK£2.40UK£5.9415
Jul ’24UK£3.10
UK£4.24
+37.0%
28.2%UK£6.50UK£2.40UK£5.7715
Jun ’24UK£2.84
UK£4.24
+49.6%
28.2%UK£6.50UK£2.40UK£5.8715
May ’24UK£2.79
UK£4.56
+63.5%
23.4%UK£6.50UK£2.50UK£6.0212
Apr ’24UK£2.57
UK£4.42
+72.1%
24.4%UK£6.50UK£2.50UK£4.3813
Mar ’24UK£2.62
UK£4.47
+70.6%
25.2%UK£6.50UK£2.50UK£3.6112
Feb ’24UK£2.22
UK£4.50
+102.4%
25.5%UK£6.50UK£2.50UK£3.4512
Jan ’24UK£2.59
UK£5.12
+97.8%
17.2%UK£6.50UK£3.20UK£3.6712
Dec ’23UK£3.55
UK£5.12
+44.4%
17.2%UK£6.50UK£3.20UK£3.4812
Nov ’23UK£3.64
UK£5.15
+41.6%
19.3%UK£6.50UK£3.20UK£3.4910

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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