Stock Analysis

Windward Ltd.'s (LON:WNWD) Stock Retreats 25% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

AIM:WNWD
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The Windward Ltd. (LON:WNWD) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 79% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Windward is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United Kingdom's Software industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Windward

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:WNWD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024

What Does Windward's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Windward as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Windward will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Windward's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 40%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 112% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 19% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.7% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Windward is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Windward's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Windward's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Windward maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Software industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Windward that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Windward might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.