Stock Analysis

essensys plc's (LON:ESYS) 33% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

AIM:ESYS
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the essensys plc (LON:ESYS) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 74% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, essensys' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for essensys

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:ESYS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024

How essensys Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for essensys as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on essensys will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is essensys' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like essensys' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.4% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 12% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.7% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why essensys is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From essensys' P/S?

Shares in essensys have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that essensys maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

You need to take note of risks, for example - essensys has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether essensys is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.