Stock Analysis

CentralNic Group (LON:CNIC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

AIM:TIG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies CentralNic Group Plc (LON:CNIC) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for CentralNic Group

What Is CentralNic Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 CentralNic Group had US$142.2m of debt, an increase on US$123.3m, over one year. However, it does have US$95.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$47.0m.

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AIM:CNIC Debt to Equity History October 19th 2022

A Look At CentralNic Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, CentralNic Group had liabilities of US$187.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$170.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$95.2m and US$93.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$169.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because CentralNic Group is worth US$395.3m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While CentralNic Group's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.94 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.0 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Notably, CentralNic Group made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$34m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CentralNic Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, CentralNic Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On our analysis CentralNic Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its interest cover makes us a little nervous about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that CentralNic Group is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CentralNic Group you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.