Stock Analysis

Kromek Group plc's (LON:KMK) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%

AIM:KMK
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Kromek Group plc (LON:KMK) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 20%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Kromek Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in the United Kingdom, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Kromek Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:KMK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 10th 2024

How Has Kromek Group Performed Recently?

Kromek Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. Those who are bullish on Kromek Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Keen to find out how analysts think Kromek Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Kromek Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Kromek Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 87% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 31% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 56% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Kromek Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Following Kromek Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given that Kromek Group's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Kromek Group is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kromek Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.