Stock Analysis

Pets at Home Group Plc (LON:PETS) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

LSE:PETS
Source: Shutterstock

With its stock down 5.5% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Pets at Home Group (LON:PETS). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Pets at Home Group's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Pets at Home Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Pets at Home Group is:

8.5% = UK£83m ÷ UK£979m (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every £1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of £0.08.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Pets at Home Group's Earnings Growth And 8.5% ROE

At first glance, Pets at Home Group's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 12%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Despite this, surprisingly, Pets at Home Group saw an exceptional 20% net income growth over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing Pets at Home Group's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 19% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
LSE:PETS Past Earnings Growth May 24th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for PETS? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Pets at Home Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The three-year median payout ratio for Pets at Home Group is 49%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 51%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Pets at Home Group is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Additionally, Pets at Home Group has paid dividends over a period of nine years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 55% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Pets at Home Group's future ROE will rise to 12% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Pets at Home Group has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pets at Home Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.