It's not a stretch to say that Moonpig Group PLC's (LON:MOON) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where the median P/E ratio is around 16x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Moonpig Group has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Moonpig Group
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Moonpig Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Moonpig Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 58% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 30% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 14% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Moonpig Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Moonpig Group's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Moonpig Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Moonpig Group that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Moonpig Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:MOON
Moonpig Group
Provides online greeting cards and gifts in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom.
High growth potential and fair value.