Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With JD Sports Fashion Plc's (LON:JD.) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%

LSE:JD.
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JD Sports Fashion Plc (LON:JD.) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 45% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, JD Sports Fashion's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 45.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 15x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for JD Sports Fashion as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for JD Sports Fashion

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:JD. Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think JD Sports Fashion's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For JD Sports Fashion?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like JD Sports Fashion's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 39% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 2.0% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 63% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why JD Sports Fashion is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On JD Sports Fashion's P/E

JD Sports Fashion's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of JD Sports Fashion's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for JD Sports Fashion that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether JD Sports Fashion is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.