Stock Analysis

Here's Why Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

LSE:DNLM
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Dunelm Group

How Much Debt Does Dunelm Group Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Dunelm Group had UK£20.7m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has UK£40.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has UK£19.5m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:DNLM Debt to Equity History April 25th 2023

A Look At Dunelm Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Dunelm Group had liabilities of UK£291.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£246.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£40.2m as well as receivables valued at UK£21.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£475.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Dunelm Group has a market capitalization of UK£2.34b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Dunelm Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, Dunelm Group grew its EBIT by 2.6% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dunelm Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Dunelm Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Dunelm Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

Although Dunelm Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£19.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 122% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in UK£224m. So we don't think Dunelm Group's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Dunelm Group you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.