AUTO1 Group SE

BATS-CHIXE:AG1D Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.4b

AUTO1 Group Valuation

Is AG1D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AG1D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AG1D (€10.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AG1D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AG1D?

Key metric: As AG1D is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AG1D. This is calculated by dividing AG1D's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AG1D's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
Sales€5.90b
Market Cap€2.43b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AG1D's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AG1D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.1x
LOOK Lookers
0.1x4.0%UK£503.2m
HFD Halfords Group
0.2x3.4%UK£287.2m
VTU Vertu Motors
0.04x5.8%UK£199.5m
MOTR Motorpoint Group
0.09x6.3%UK£102.0m
AG1D AUTO1 Group
0.4x8.1%€2.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AG1D is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AG1D's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Specialty Retail Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VTU Vertu Motors
0.04x5.8%US$249.95m
MOTR Motorpoint Group
0.09x6.3%US$127.82m
WRKS TheWorks.co.uk
0.05xn/aUS$17.62m
CFYN Caffyns
0.05xn/aUS$15.38m
No. of Companies8PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AG1D is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the UK Specialty Retail industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AG1D's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AG1D PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AG1D's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AG1D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.67
€11.03
+3.4%
17.6%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Nov ’25€9.37
€9.96
+6.3%
17.2%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Oct ’25n/a
€9.92
0%
16.8%€14.00€8.00n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
€9.66
0%
20.0%€14.00€6.50n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
€8.42
0%
31.6%€14.00€4.00n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
€7.55
0%
32.2%€13.00€4.00n/a13
Jun ’25n/a
€7.54
0%
32.3%€13.00€4.00n/a13
May ’25n/a
€7.28
0%
57.7%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Apr ’25n/a
€7.25
0%
58.6%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Mar ’25n/a
€7.43
0%
57.1%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Feb ’25n/a
€8.46
0%
55.0%€20.00€4.00n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
€9.93
0%
40.0%€20.00€6.30n/a12
Dec ’24n/a
€10.26
0%
37.2%€20.00€7.00n/a12
Nov ’24n/a
€10.28
0%
36.2%€20.00€6.50€9.3712
Oct ’24€6.23
€10.50
+68.6%
34.2%€20.00€6.50n/a12
Sep ’24n/a
€10.76
0%
31.9%€20.00€7.00n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
€10.77
0%
32.1%€20.00€7.00n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
€10.82
0%
32.0%€20.00€7.00n/a12
Jun ’24€8.03
€10.87
+35.4%
31.8%€20.00€7.00n/a12
May ’24€6.72
€11.05
+64.3%
32.7%€20.00€6.00n/a11
Apr ’24€6.21
€11.09
+78.7%
32.3%€20.00€6.00n/a11
Mar ’24€7.19
€11.08
+54.1%
31.6%€20.00€6.00n/a12
Feb ’24€7.40
€11.66
+57.7%
30.5%€20.00€6.00n/a12
Jan ’24€7.70
€12.37
+60.7%
35.9%€25.00€6.00n/a13
Dec ’23€8.77
€12.85
+46.5%
40.9%€25.00€6.00n/a13
Nov ’23€6.84
€14.88
+117.7%
42.5%€30.00€9.00n/a13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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