Mothercare plc

AIM:MTC Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£20.2m

Mothercare Valuation

Is MTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MTC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MTC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTC?

Key metric: As MTC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MTC. This is calculated by dividing MTC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MTC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUK£48.20m
Market CapUK£20.24m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MTC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
SHOE Shoe Zone
0.3x0.8%UK£45.1m
BWNG N Brown Group
0.3x0.6%UK£185.4m
BOO boohoo group
0.3x2.0%UK£394.9m
ASC ASOS
0.2x2.9%UK£471.7m
MTC Mothercare
0.5x4.3%UK£22.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MTC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Specialty Retail Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VTU Vertu Motors
0.03x4.4%US$205.39m
MOTR Motorpoint Group
0.1x7.3%US$128.73m
WRKS TheWorks.co.uk
0.05x1.7%US$17.20m
CFYN Caffyns
0.05xn/aUS$15.25m
MTC 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies8PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the UK Specialty Retail industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.039
UK£0.11
+175.6%
39.5%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Jan ’26UK£0.043
UK£0.11
+150.0%
39.5%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Dec ’25UK£0.042
UK£0.11
+159.0%
39.5%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Nov ’25UK£0.038
UK£0.11
+182.2%
39.5%UK£0.15UK£0.065n/a2
Oct ’25UK£0.036
UK£0.14
+279.2%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Sep ’25UK£0.04
UK£0.14
+236.7%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Aug ’25UK£0.041
UK£0.14
+231.7%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Jul ’25UK£0.047
UK£0.14
+187.2%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Jun ’25UK£0.045
UK£0.14
+196.7%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
May ’25UK£0.063
UK£0.14
+114.3%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.064
UK£0.14
+112.6%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.075
UK£0.14
+79.4%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.078
UK£0.14
+72.5%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0382
Jan ’25UK£0.068
UK£0.14
+98.5%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0432
Dec ’24UK£0.057
UK£0.14
+138.9%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0422
Nov ’24UK£0.043
UK£0.14
+217.6%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0382
Oct ’24UK£0.045
UK£0.14
+202.7%
11.1%UK£0.15UK£0.12UK£0.0362
Sep ’24UK£0.051
UK£0.13
+153.7%
15.4%UK£0.15UK£0.11UK£0.042
Aug ’24UK£0.059
UK£0.13
+120.3%
15.4%UK£0.15UK£0.11UK£0.0412
Jul ’24UK£0.058
UK£0.13
+124.1%
15.4%UK£0.15UK£0.11UK£0.0472
Jun ’24UK£0.059
UK£0.13
+120.3%
15.4%UK£0.15UK£0.11UK£0.0452
May ’24UK£0.081
UK£0.14
+73.9%
7.1%UK£0.15UK£0.13UK£0.0632
Apr ’24UK£0.086
UK£0.14
+63.6%
7.1%UK£0.15UK£0.13UK£0.0642
Mar ’24UK£0.097
UK£0.14
+45.1%
7.1%UK£0.15UK£0.13UK£0.0752
Feb ’24UK£0.10
UK£0.14
+40.7%
7.1%UK£0.15UK£0.13UK£0.0782
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
UK£0.11
Fair Value
63.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 18:43
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2024/03/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mothercare plc is covered by 22 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Louise RichardsonArden Partners Plc.
Robert ChantryBerenberg
Ian MacdougallBlue Oar Securities