Capital & Regional Valuation

Is CAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAL (£0.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CAL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CAL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.5x
NRR NewRiver REIT
3.5x-1.8%UK£224.4m
HMSO Hammerson
5.5x-8.1%UK£1.3b
SUPR Supermarket Income REIT
8.5x3.4%UK£907.3m
SHC Shaftesbury Capital
12.3x4.5%UK£2.4b
CAL Capital & Regional
1.8x-27.7%UK£112.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CAL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CAL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (5.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.50
UK£0.70
+39.2%
6.5%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a5
Apr ’25UK£0.52
UK£0.70
+34.1%
6.5%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a5
Mar ’25UK£0.53
UK£0.70
+31.3%
6.5%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a5
Feb ’25UK£0.54
UK£0.70
+28.9%
6.5%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a5
Jan ’25UK£0.58
UK£0.71
+22.6%
8.4%UK£0.80UK£0.65n/a5
Dec ’24UK£0.58
UK£0.71
+21.7%
8.4%UK£0.80UK£0.65n/a5
Nov ’24UK£0.54
UK£0.71
+32.7%
9.1%UK£0.80UK£0.65n/a4
Oct ’24UK£0.56
UK£0.71
+27.5%
9.1%UK£0.80UK£0.65n/a4
Sep ’24UK£0.56
UK£0.71
+26.3%
5.3%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a4
Aug ’24UK£0.59
UK£0.71
+19.1%
5.3%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a4
Jul ’24UK£0.57
UK£0.71
+24.1%
5.3%UK£0.75UK£0.65n/a4
Jun ’24UK£0.60
UK£0.69
+16.2%
8.3%UK£0.75UK£0.60n/a4
May ’24UK£0.57
UK£0.70
+21.3%
7.4%UK£0.75UK£0.60n/a5
Apr ’24UK£0.60
UK£0.70
+16.0%
7.4%UK£0.75UK£0.60UK£0.525
Mar ’24UK£0.57
UK£0.70
+22.1%
7.4%UK£0.75UK£0.60UK£0.535
Feb ’24UK£0.58
UK£0.71
+22.4%
7.9%UK£0.75UK£0.60UK£0.545
Jan ’24UK£0.62
UK£0.71
+14.5%
8.2%UK£0.75UK£0.60UK£0.585
Dec ’23UK£0.53
UK£0.71
+34.5%
8.2%UK£0.75UK£0.60UK£0.585
Nov ’23UK£0.44
UK£0.71
+62.1%
8.2%UK£0.75UK£0.60UK£0.545
Oct ’23UK£0.48
UK£0.72
+49.3%
9.1%UK£0.79UK£0.60UK£0.565
Sep ’23UK£0.60
UK£0.72
+19.1%
9.1%UK£0.79UK£0.60UK£0.565
Aug ’23UK£0.58
UK£0.73
+26.0%
6.6%UK£0.79UK£0.65UK£0.595
Jul ’23UK£0.56
UK£0.73
+28.8%
6.6%UK£0.79UK£0.65UK£0.575
Jun ’23UK£0.61
UK£0.73
+18.4%
6.6%UK£0.79UK£0.65UK£0.605
May ’23UK£0.57
UK£0.73
+27.7%
6.6%UK£0.79UK£0.65UK£0.575
Apr ’23UK£0.58
UK£0.71
+21.6%
11.0%UK£0.80UK£0.60UK£0.605

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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