Land Securities Group Plc

BATS-CHIXE:LANDL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£4.5b

Land Securities Group Valuation

Is LANDL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LANDL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LANDL (£6.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£8.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LANDL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LANDL?

Key metric: As LANDL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LANDL. This is calculated by dividing LANDL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LANDL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.9x
EarningsUK£106.00m
Market CapUK£4.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LANDL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LANDL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.9x
BLND British Land
22.7x20.1%UK£3.8b
LMP LondonMetric Property
32.7x20.1%UK£3.9b
UKCM UK Commercial Property REIT
29.9xn/aUK£947.3m
PCTN Picton Property Income
46.3x41.6%UK£376.4m
LANDL Land Securities Group
42.9x25.9%UK£4.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LANDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.9x) compared to the peer average (32.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LANDL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies8PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LANDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.9x) compared to the European REITs industry average (22.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LANDL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LANDL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.9x
Fair PE Ratio21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LANDL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LANDL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£6.14
UK£7.30
+18.9%
10.4%UK£9.30UK£5.50n/a18
Nov ’25UK£6.05
UK£7.36
+21.6%
10.7%UK£9.30UK£5.15n/a18
Oct ’25UK£6.52
UK£7.26
+11.4%
10.1%UK£8.30UK£5.15n/a17
Sep ’25UK£6.31
UK£7.27
+15.2%
9.4%UK£8.30UK£5.04n/a16
Aug ’25UK£6.37
UK£7.27
+14.1%
9.4%UK£8.30UK£5.04n/a16
Jul ’25UK£6.33
UK£7.27
+14.9%
9.4%UK£8.30UK£5.04n/a16
Jun ’25UK£6.61
UK£7.07
+6.9%
12.5%UK£8.30UK£4.85n/a18
May ’25UK£6.50
UK£7.09
+9.1%
13.0%UK£8.30UK£4.85n/a17
Apr ’25UK£6.57
UK£7.08
+7.8%
14.1%UK£8.60UK£4.65n/a17
Mar ’25UK£6.28
UK£7.03
+12.0%
13.9%UK£8.60UK£4.65n/a17
Feb ’25UK£6.55
UK£6.94
+5.9%
13.9%UK£8.60UK£4.65n/a17
Jan ’25UK£7.08
UK£6.72
-5.2%
13.2%UK£7.54UK£4.65n/a14
Dec ’24UK£6.32
UK£6.54
+3.5%
13.2%UK£7.54UK£4.65n/a14
Nov ’24UK£5.73
UK£6.73
+17.5%
13.6%UK£8.00UK£4.65UK£6.0517
Oct ’24UK£5.93
UK£6.66
+12.2%
13.3%UK£8.00UK£4.65UK£6.5217
Sep ’24UK£5.92
UK£6.91
+16.6%
12.4%UK£8.00UK£4.85UK£6.3117
Aug ’24UK£6.42
UK£6.96
+8.4%
11.5%UK£8.00UK£4.85UK£6.3717
Jul ’24UK£5.75
UK£7.03
+22.3%
9.0%UK£8.00UK£6.25UK£6.3317
Jun ’24UK£6.08
UK£6.95
+14.3%
9.1%UK£8.00UK£6.00UK£6.6117
May ’24UK£6.76
UK£7.01
+3.7%
8.9%UK£8.00UK£6.00UK£6.5017
Apr ’24UK£6.22
UK£7.01
+12.7%
8.9%UK£8.00UK£6.00UK£6.5717
Mar ’24UK£6.77
UK£7.02
+3.7%
8.2%UK£8.00UK£6.00UK£6.2817
Feb ’24UK£7.11
UK£6.78
-4.6%
8.2%UK£8.00UK£5.90UK£6.5516
Jan ’24UK£6.26
UK£6.65
+6.2%
8.6%UK£8.00UK£5.75UK£7.0816
Dec ’23UK£6.11
UK£6.74
+10.2%
12.9%UK£8.80UK£5.00UK£6.3217
Nov ’23UK£5.81
UK£6.78
+16.7%
16.6%UK£8.80UK£4.60UK£5.7317

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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