Valneva Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Valneva is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 50.9% and 20.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 55.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -17.9% in 3 years.

Key information

50.9%

Earnings growth rate

55.8%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	19.6%
Revenue growth rate	20.8%
Future return on equity	-17.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:0OB3 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	322	-15	3	-5	7
12/31/2025	234	-33	-2	-29	9
12/31/2024	192	25	-14	9	7
12/31/2023	154	-101	-217	-203	N/A
9/30/2023	223	-113	-208	-193	N/A
6/30/2023	431	-7	-231	-211	N/A
3/31/2023	373	-135	-266	-243	N/A
12/31/2022	361	-143	-275	-245	N/A
9/30/2022	439	73	-195	-149	N/A
6/30/2022	304	-159	-177	-108	N/A
3/31/2022	347	-72	-83	2	N/A
12/31/2021	348	-73	-16	77	N/A
9/30/2021	121	-248	15	97	N/A
6/30/2021	110	-125	51	109	N/A
3/31/2021	98	-91	147	182	N/A
12/31/2020	110	-64	118	138	N/A
9/30/2020	104	-62	67	78	N/A
6/30/2020	120	-25	97	105	N/A
3/31/2020	127	-8	-7	3	N/A
12/31/2019	126	-2	-5	6	N/A
9/30/2019	116	4	0	10	N/A
6/30/2019	109	1	10	16	N/A
3/31/2019	116	7	14	17	N/A
12/31/2018	113	3	13	16	N/A
9/30/2018	107	-7	4	6	N/A
6/30/2018	110	-7	8	10	N/A
3/31/2018	108	-8	2	5	N/A
12/31/2017	105	-11	9	13	N/A
9/30/2017	103	-11	N/A	17	N/A
6/30/2017	100	-14	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2017	102	-46	N/A	25	N/A
12/31/2016	98	-49	N/A	7	N/A
9/30/2016	93	-63	N/A	4	N/A
6/30/2016	96	-61	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2016	89	-35	N/A	-17	N/A
12/31/2015	83	-21	N/A	-20	N/A
9/30/2015	74	-16	N/A	-24	N/A
6/30/2015	65	-13	N/A	-19	N/A
3/31/2015	55	-9	N/A	-15	N/A
12/31/2014	42	-26	N/A	-15	N/A
9/30/2014	41	-21	N/A	-6	N/A
6/30/2014	43	-28	N/A	-21	N/A
3/31/2014	41	-29	N/A	-27	N/A
12/31/2013	36	-24	N/A	-21	N/A
9/30/2013	26	-22	N/A	-27	N/A
6/30/2013	13	-14	N/A	-13	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 0OB3 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.6%).

Earnings vs Market: 0OB3 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 0OB3 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 0OB3's revenue (20.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 0OB3's revenue (20.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 0OB3 is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Valneva Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Valneva Se Announces Earnings Guidance for 2024

Valneva SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Valneva SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

No longer forecast to breakeven

Valneva Se Provides Revenue Guidance for the Year 2023

Recent updates

New minor risk - Share price stability

Valneva SE Initiates Phase 1 Trial of Second-Generation Zika Vaccine Candidate

Full year 2023 earnings released: €0.73 loss per share (vs €1.24 loss in FY 2022)

New minor risk - Profitability

U.S. CDC Advisory Committee (ACIP) Recommends Use of Valneva’s Single-Dose Chikungunya Vaccine IXCHIQ

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Valneva Se Announces Earnings Guidance for 2024

Valneva Se Announces the First Participant Has Been Vaccinated in the Phase 2 Clinical Trial Evaluating the Safety and Immunogenicity in Children of Two Different Dose Levels of Valneva’S Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine

Valneva SE to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 21, 2024

Valneva SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Valneva SE Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Valneva SE to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024

No longer forecast to breakeven

Valneva SE reported positive antibody persistence data twenty-four months after vaccination with a single dose of its chikungunya vaccine IXCHIQ®

Ema Accepts Valneva’s Chikungunya Vaccine Marketing Authorization Application for Accelerated Assessment

Ema Accepts Valneva’s Chikungunya Vaccine Marketing Authorization Application for Accelerated Assessment

Valneva SE Announces Board Changes

New minor risk - Profitability

Valneva SE Announces U.S. FDA Approval of World's First Chikungunya Vaccine, IXCHIQ(R)

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: €0.25 loss per share (vs €0.68 profit in 3Q 2022)

Valneva Se Provides Revenue Guidance for the Year 2023

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: €0.12 loss per share (vs €1.34 loss in 2Q 2022)

Valneva SE Announces Positive Pediatric and Adolescent Immunogenicity and Safety Data for Their Lyme Disease Vaccine Candidate, VLA15

Health Canada Accepts Valneva's Chikungunya Vaccine License Application for Review

Valneva SE Reports Positive Initial Phase 3 Safety Data in Adolescents for Its Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate Vla1553

New minor risk - Financial position

Valneva SE announced a financing transaction

Valneva Se Appoints Kathrin U Jansen to Supervisory Board

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2023

Valneva SE Announces Publication of its Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate Phase 3 Data in the Lancet

Valneva SE Provides Financial Guidance of 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings released: €0.13 loss per share (vs €0.24 loss in 1Q 2022)

No longer forecast to breakeven

Pfizer Inc. and Valneva SE Issue Update on Phase 3 Clinical Trial Evaluating Lyme Disease Vaccine Candidate VLA15

Valneva Completes Enrollment for Adolescent Phase 3 Trial of Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

Valneva SE to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023

Valneva SE Reports Further Heterologous Booster Data from Exploratory, Small Clinical Study for its Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccine, VLA2001

Valneva Completes BLA Submission to U.S. FDA for Its Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

Valneva SE to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 04, 2023

Valneva Reports Positive 12-Month Antibody Persistence Data for Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

Valneva and Pfizer Report Six-Month Antibody Persistence Data in Children and Adults for Lyme Disease Vaccine Candidate

ValnevaSE Appoints Dipal Patel as Chief Commercial Officer

Valneva SE Reiterates Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal 2022

Valneva to Present on Its Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate At Leading Scientific Conferences

Valneva SE announced a financing transaction

No longer forecast to breakeven

Valneva Reports Further Positive Phase 3 Immunogenicity and the First Heterologous Booster Results for its Inactivated, Adjuvanted COVID-19 Vaccine VLA2001

Valneva SE Confirms World Health Organization Recommendations for its Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccine

Valneva SE Initiates Rolling Submission of U.S. Food and Drug Administration Biologics License Application for Its Single Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: €1.35 loss per share (vs €0.60 loss in 2Q 2021)

Valneva SE Provides Revenue Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

Pfizer Inc. and Valneva SE Initiate Phase 3 Study of Lyme Disease Vaccine Candidate VLA15

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024

Valneva Announces Initiation of the Phase 3 Study of Lyme Disease Vaccine

Valneva SE Announces Supervisory Board Member Appointments

Valneva SE announced that it expects to receive €90.627232 million in funding from Pfizer Inc.

Valneva SE announced that it expects to receive €90.627232 million in funding from Pfizer Inc.

Valneva Announces Board Appointments

Valneva Successfully Completes Lot-To-Lot Consistency Trial for Its Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

Valneva Successfully Completes Lot-To-Lot Consistency Trial for Its Single-Shot Chikungunya Vaccine Candidate

EMA Accepts Filing of Marketing Authorization Application for Valneva's Inactivated COVID-19 Vaccine Candidate

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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