Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 33.4% and 39.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 36.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -2283.7% in 3 years.

Key information

33.4%

Earnings growth rate

36.2%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	34.5%
Revenue growth rate	39.5%
Future return on equity	-2,283.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	24 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:0HI3 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
9/30/2027	351	-302	-348	-154	9
9/30/2026	195	-468	-389	-311	12
9/30/2025	276	-309	268	285	16
9/30/2024	4	-599	-604	-463	N/A
6/30/2024	20	-539	-533	-352	N/A
3/31/2024	35	-471	-470	-257	N/A
12/31/2023	182	-297	-403	-196	N/A
9/30/2023	241	-205	-331	-154	N/A
6/30/2023	256	-181	-342	-197	N/A
3/31/2023	273	-150	-353	-245	N/A
12/31/2022	278	-155	-236	-150	N/A
9/30/2022	243	-176	-189	-136	N/A
6/30/2022	250	-154	-120	-91	N/A
3/31/2022	263	-112	-75	-52	N/A
12/31/2021	144	-183	124	149	N/A
9/30/2021	138	-141	148	171	N/A
6/30/2021	108	-126	167	184	N/A
3/31/2021	89	-110	165	181	N/A
12/31/2020	80	-103	-123	-111	N/A
9/30/2020	88	-85	-108	-96	N/A
6/30/2020	124	-24	-89	-71	N/A
3/31/2020	139	10	-46	-27	N/A
12/31/2019	164	53	-34	-19	N/A
9/30/2019	169	68	161	173	N/A
6/30/2019	137	46	152	157	N/A
3/31/2019	95	10	130	132	N/A
12/31/2018	47	-29	134	136	N/A
9/30/2018	16	-54	-49	-47	N/A
6/30/2018	14	-54	N/A	-54	N/A
3/31/2018	22	-44	N/A	-50	N/A
12/31/2017	31	-35	N/A	-49	N/A
9/30/2017	31	-34	N/A	-24	N/A
6/30/2017	23	-46	N/A	-25	N/A
3/31/2017	13	-60	N/A	-33	N/A
12/31/2016	4	-75	N/A	-33	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-82	N/A	-64	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-84	N/A	-66	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-81	N/A	-61	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-89	N/A	-63	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-92	N/A	-66	N/A
6/30/2015	0	-90	N/A	-65	N/A
3/31/2015	0	-85	N/A	-61	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-71	N/A	-53	N/A
9/30/2014	0	-59	N/A	-35	N/A
6/30/2014	0	-50	N/A	-30	N/A
3/31/2014	0	-44	N/A	-25	N/A
12/31/2013	0	-37	N/A	-22	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 0HI3 is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: 0HI3 is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: 0HI3 is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 0HI3's revenue (39.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 0HI3's revenue (39.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 0HI3 is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/25 12:56
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Ishan Majumdar	Baptista Research
Ying Huang	Barclays
Jason Matthew Gerberry	BofA Global Research

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

No longer forecast to breakeven

Recent updates

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Initiates Phase 1/2a Study of ARO-INHBE for the Treatment of Obesity

CEO, President & Director recently sold US$567k worth of stock

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Presents Interim Clinical Data on ARO-CFB for the Treatment of Complement Mediated Diseases

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Requests Regulatory Clearance to Initiate Phase 1/2A Study of ARO-ALK7 for the Treatment of Obesity

New minor risk - Revenue size

Full year 2024 earnings released: US$4.82 loss per share (vs US$1.92 loss in FY 2023)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Appoints Doug Ingram to the Board of Directors

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Submits New Drug Application to U.S. FDA for Plozasiran for the Treatment of Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome

New major risk - Financial position

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Presents New Pivotal Phase 3 Data At ESC 2024 from PALISADE Study of Plozasiran in Patients with Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to Advance Two New RNAi-Based Obesity Candidates, ARO-INHBE and ARO-ALK7, into Clinical Studies

New minor risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: US$1.38 loss per share (vs US$0.96 loss in 3Q 2023)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals to Advance RNAi-Based Plozasiran into Phase 3 Capitan Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Reports Successful Topline Results for Plozasiran from the Pivotal Phase 3 Palisade Study in Patients with Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Presents New Clinical Data Showing ARO-RAGE Achieves High Level of Gene Knockdown in Patients with Asthma

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: US$1.04 loss per share (vs US$0.46 profit in 2Q 2023)

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Initiates Phase 1/2a Study of ARO-CFB for Treatment of Complement Mediated Kidney Disease

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces New Phase 2 Data of Plozasiran Published in JAMA Cardiology and Presented at American College of Cardiology 73rd Annual Scientific Session & Expo

Chief Financial Officer recently sold US$1.4m worth of stock

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Initiates Phase 1/2a Study of ARO-DM1 for Treatment of Type 1 Myotonic Dystrophy

Now 27% overvalued after recent price rise

First quarter 2024 earnings released: US$1.24 loss per share (vs US$0.39 loss in 1Q 2023)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 14, 2024

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Leaving of Javier San Martin, M.D., as the Chief Medical Officer, Effective from February 1, 2024

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $450.015 million.

New major risk - Financial position

New major risk - Financial position

Full year 2023 earnings released: US$1.92 loss per share (vs US$1.67 loss in FY 2022)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Files for Regulatory Clearance to Initiate Phase 1/2a Study of ARO-DM1 for Type 1 Myotonic Dystrophy

Chief Medical Officer recently sold US$567k worth of stock

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. Presents New Phase 2 Data on Plozasiran and Zodasiran at AHA 2023

New minor risk - Share price stability

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.96 loss per share (vs US$0.68 loss in 3Q 2022)

New minor risk - Insider selling

Chief Financial Officer recently sold US$543k worth of stock

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Files for Regulatory Clearance to Initiate A Phase 1 Study of Aro-Sod1

Chairman of the Board recently sold US$266k worth of stock

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.46 (vs US$0.42 in 2Q 2022)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Gains Full Rights to NASH Candidate ARO-PNPLA3 with Promising Phase 1 Results

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.39 loss per share (vs US$0.60 loss in 1Q 2022)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Initiates Phase 1/2a Study of ARO-Mmp7 for Treatment of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Mar 16, 2023

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NasdaqGS:ARWR) acquired unknown majority stake in Visirna Therapeutics.

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. and Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited Announce Topline Results from SEQUOIA Phase 2 Study of Fazirsiran in Patients with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency-Associated Liver Disease

Insufficient new directors

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. to Present Topline Data from the Phase 2 SEQUOIA Study Evaluating Fazirsiran and Describe Design for Planned Phase 3 Study

No longer forecast to breakeven

Arrowhead Presents New Phase 2 Data At AHA 2022 on Cardiometabolic Pipeline

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals to Present Interim Phase 2 Clinical Data At AHA 2022 on SHASTA-2 Study of ARO-APOC3 and Arches-2 Study of ARO-ANG3

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.68 loss per share (vs US$0.29 loss in 3Q 2021)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Appoints Patrick O’Brien as Chief Operating Officer

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. Initiates Phase 1/2a Studies for Two Pulmonary Candidates ARO-MUC5AC and ARO-RAGE

Takeda and Arrowhead Announce Results from Phase 2 Study of Fazirsiran in Patients with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency Published in New England Journal of Medicine

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.41 (vs US$0.26 loss in 2Q 2021)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Appoints Victoria Vakiener to Board of Directors

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. Doses the First Patients in the Phase 2 GATEWAY Clinical Study of Investigational ARO-ANG3 for the Treatment of Patients with Homozygous Familial Hypercholesterolemia

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. Completes Enrollment in Phase 2b ARCHES-2 Study of Investigational ARO-ANG3 for Patients with Mixed Dyslipidemia

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Initiates Phase 1/2 Study of ARO-C3 for Treatment of Complement Mediated Diseases

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Presents New Clinical Data on ARO-HIF2 at ASCO GU 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc Initiates Phase 3 PALISADE Study of ARO-APOC3 for Treatment of Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome

Independent Director recently sold US$291k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Chairman of the Board recently sold US$326k worth of stock

Chief Commercial Officer James Hassard has left the company

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.29 loss per share (vs US$0.13 loss in 3Q 2020)

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Pauses ARO-ENaC Phase 1/2 Clinical Study

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Initiates Phase 2B Study of Investigational ARO-ANG3 for Treatment of Mixed Dyslipidemia

Arrowhead Presents Preclinical Data on ARO-DUX4 at FSHD Society International Research Congress

Chief Commercial Officer recently sold US$323k worth of stock