Grifols Valuation

Is GRFE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRFE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRFE (€9.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRFE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRFE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GRFE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.2x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRFE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRFE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.5x
GNS Genus
35.4x21.5%UK£1.2b
BVXP Bioventix
25.9x5.2%UK£224.4m
HIK Hikma Pharmaceuticals
28.7x16.0%UK£4.3b
HCM HUTCHMED (China)
31.8x18.7%UK£2.5b
GRFE Grifols
33.5x27.3%€5.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRFE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the peer average (30.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRFE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRFE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (25.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRFE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRFE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRFE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRFE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€17.35
0%
33.1%€25.00€6.30n/a15
May ’25n/a
€17.40
0%
31.3%€25.00€7.00n/a14
Apr ’25n/a
€18.76
0%
31.6%€27.80€7.00n/a15
Mar ’25€8.91
€18.88
+112.0%
27.0%€27.80€9.00n/a16
Feb ’25€10.04
€19.08
+90.1%
26.3%€27.80€9.00n/a16
Jan ’25€15.79
€18.73
+18.6%
21.3%€24.80€12.00n/a18
Dec ’24€12.68
€18.48
+45.8%
23.8%€24.80€11.00n/a17
Nov ’24€10.54
€18.36
+74.3%
24.2%€24.90€11.50n/a17
Oct ’24n/a
€18.52
0%
23.6%€25.00€11.50n/a17
Sep ’24€12.48
€18.08
+44.9%
25.3%€25.00€11.50n/a17
Aug ’24€13.35
€17.81
+33.5%
27.7%€25.00€10.00n/a17
Jul ’24€11.68
€17.66
+51.2%
28.5%€24.90€10.00n/a17
Jun ’24€11.01
€17.53
+59.2%
28.3%€24.90€10.00n/a17
May ’24€9.23
€17.70
+91.8%
32.3%€30.00€10.00n/a17
Apr ’24€9.15
€18.04
+97.3%
31.5%€30.00€10.00n/a17
Mar ’24€11.70
€18.16
+55.2%
31.0%€30.00€10.00€8.9117
Feb ’24€12.18
€17.53
+43.9%
36.9%€30.00€9.00€10.0417
Jan ’24€10.89
€17.19
+57.9%
38.7%€30.00€9.00€15.7917
Dec ’23€10.50
€17.76
+69.1%
38.4%€30.00€9.00€12.6817
Nov ’23€8.88
€19.88
+123.9%
34.0%€30.00€8.00€10.5416
Oct ’23€8.95
€21.71
+142.5%
23.8%€30.00€13.00n/a16
Sep ’23€12.40
€21.87
+76.3%
22.9%€30.00€13.00€12.4816
Aug ’23€16.29
€21.74
+33.5%
22.7%€30.00€13.00€13.3516
Jul ’23€17.69
€22.20
+25.5%
22.4%€30.00€13.00€11.6815
Jun ’23€19.73
€22.07
+11.9%
23.8%€30.00€13.00€11.0115

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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