Stock Analysis

We Think MaxCyte (LON:MXCT) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

AIM:MXCT
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for MaxCyte (LON:MXCT) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for MaxCyte

SWOT Analysis for MaxCyte

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.

Does MaxCyte Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When MaxCyte last reported its balance sheet in December 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth US$227m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$33m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from December 2022 it had 6.8 years of cash runway. Even though this is but one measure of the company's cash burn, the thought of such a long cash runway warms our bellies in a comforting way. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:MXCT Debt to Equity History April 27th 2023

How Well Is MaxCyte Growing?

Notably, MaxCyte actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 129%, signifying heavy investment in the business. On the bright side, at least operating revenue was up 31% over the same period, giving some cause for hope. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For MaxCyte To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Even though it seems like MaxCyte is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

MaxCyte has a market capitalisation of US$507m and burnt through US$33m last year, which is 6.6% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About MaxCyte's Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way MaxCyte is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While we must concede that its increasing cash burn is a bit worrying, the other factors mentioned in this article provide great comfort when it comes to the cash burn. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 1 warning sign for MaxCyte that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.